Encina Hall West,
Phone: 650-725-4031, Email: tomz@stanford.edu
Website: http://www.stanford.edu/~tomz
Education
Harvard
University: Ph.D. in Political Science, November 2001.
Oxford University: M.Phil. in Politics, July
1994. Marshall Scholar.
Georgetown University: B.S., summa
cum laude, in International Relations, May 1992.
Professional Experience
Stanford
University,
Associate Professor, Department of Political Science,
2008–present.
Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, 2001–2008.
Assistant Professor (Subject to Ph.D.), Department of Political Science,
2000–2001.
Senior Fellow, Stanford Center for International Development, 2009–present.
Senior Fellow, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research, 2009–present.
Victoria Schuck Faculty Scholar Chair in Political Science, 2006–2009.
Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral
Sciences,
Fellow in Residence, 2006–2007.
Research Interests
International Relations, Political Economy, Public Opinion, Methodology.
For a copy of my research statement, click here.
Books
Reputation and
International Cooperation: Sovereign Debt across Three Centuries. 
Modern
Political Economy and Latin America: Theory and Policy. Editor (with Jeffry
Frieden and Manuel Pastor). 
Articles
The Electoral Implications of Candidate Ambiguity (with Robert Van Houweling). American Political Science Review 103, no. 1 (February 2009): 83–98.
Sovereign
Theft: Theory and Evidence about Default and Expropriation (with Mark
Wright). In The Natural Resources Trap: Private Investment without Public
Commitment,, eds. William Hogan and Federico Sturzenegger.
The
Foundations of Domestic Audience Costs: Attitudes, Expectations, and
Institutions. In Kitai, Seido, Gurobaru-shakai (Expectations,
Institutions, and Global Society), eds. Masaru Kohno and Aiji Tanaka.
Candidate Positioning and Voter Choice (with Robert Van Houweling). American Political Science Review 102, no. 3 (August 2008): 303–18.
Domestic Audience Costs in International Relations: An Experimental Approach. International Organization 61, no. 4 (Fall 2007): 821–40.
Do We Really Know That the WTO Increases Trade? Comment (with Judith Goldstein and Douglas Rivers). American Economic Review 97, no. 5 (December 2007): 2005–18.
Institutions in International Relations: Understanding the Effects of the GATT and the WTO on World Trade (with Judith Goldstein and Douglas Rivers). International Organization 61, no. 1 (Winter 2007): 37–67.
Do Countries Default in Bad Times? (with Mark Wright). Journal of the European Economic Association 5, no. 2–3 (May 2007): 352–60.
How Does Voting Equipment Affect the Racial Gap in Voided Ballots? (with Robert Van Houweling). American Journal of Political Science 47, no. 1 (January 2003): 46–60.
Relogit: Rare Events Logistic Regression (with Gary King and Langche Zeng). Journal of Statistical Software 8, no. 2 (2003). Abstract published in Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 12, no. 1 (2003): 246–47.
Clarify: Software for Interpreting and Presenting Statistical Results (with Jason Wittenberg and Gary King). Journal of Statistical Software 8, no. 1 (2003). Abstract published in Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 12, no. 1 (2003): 245–46.
An Easy and Accurate Regression Model for Multiparty Electoral Data (with Joshua Tucker and Jason Wittenberg). Political Analysis 10, no. 1 (Winter 2002): 66–83.
Making the Most of Statistical Analyses: Improving Interpretation and Presentation (with Gary King and Jason Wittenberg). American Journal of Political Science 44, no. 2 (April 2000): 347–61.
Electoral Surprise and the Midterm Loss in U.S. Congressional Elections (with Kenneth Scheve). British Journal of Political Science 29, no. 3 (July 1999): 507–21.
The Long-Run Advantages of Centralization for Collective Action (with Edward Schwartz). American Political Science Review 92, no. 3 (September 1997): 685–93.
Current Projects and Working Papers
The Credibility of International Commitments (supported by National Science Foundation CAREER Award SES-0548285)
Working Papers (available
online):
The Effect of International
Law on Preferences and Beliefs
Interests, Information, and the Domestic
Politics of International Agreements
Democratic Default: Domestic Audiences and Compliance
with International Agreements
Papers in Process:
“Reputation Spillovers in International Relations”
“The Effect of International Law on State Behavior”
“Self-Interest and Individual Preferences over Trade Policy” (with Sungmin Rho)
“Formality and Compliance in Commercial and International Relations” (with Gillian Hadfield)
“The Empirics of Sovereign Debt” (with Mark Wright, for Annual Reviews of Economics)
“International Finance” (for Handbook of International Relations, 2nd ed.)
New Databases:
“A Century of Expropriation.” Describes cases of expropriation of foreign
direct investment since 1900. The data allow new research into the causes and
effects of expropriation, including reputation spillovers from FDI
expropriation to other areas of international relations. As of August 2009, the
database contains all known twentieth-century cases of expropriation of
“Commerce and the Law before World War II.” Contains data on commercial treaties and bilateral trade in the pre-GATT era. As of August 2009, the database includes MFN agreements, direction of trade, and national accounts for the years 1920–40.
“MIDipedia: An Expanded Database
of Militarized Interstate Disputes” (with Jessica Weeks). Provides narratives,
new variables, and complete documentation for the Militarized Interstate
Dispute Database. As of August 2009, our research group has documented more
than 1,200 disputes in the post-WWII era. Data are stored in an internet wiki
that facilitates collaboration to improve the database.
The Political Economy of Elections (supported, in part, by a National
Science Foundation Award to Michael Tomz and Robert Van Houweling)
Working Papers (available
online):
Candidate Inconsistency and
Voter Choice (with Robert Van Houweling)
Brand Names and the Organization of
Mass Belief Systems (with Paul Sniderman)
Papers in Process:
“Partisan Bias in American Elections” (with Robert Van Houweling)
“Projection and Persuasion” (with Robert Van Houweling)
New Databases:
“
Software
Treatment: Software for Public Opinion Surveys
with Embedded Experiments (with
Nico Benitez), © 2009. Latest Version Beta 1.11, January 2009. Creates
multimedia surveys with embedded experiments, delivers surveys over the
internet, and generates datasets and codebooks for analysis.
Diagnosis: Software for Assessing Covariate
Balance in Randomized Experiments and Observational Data, © 2007. Implements parametric and
nonparametric tests for covariate balance.
Clarify: Software for Interpreting and Presenting Statistical Results (with Jason Wittenberg and Gary King), copyright 1998–2003. Latest Version 2.1, released January 5, 2003. Uses stochastic simulation to interpret statistical results of non-linear models. Clarify won the 1999 APSA Award for the Best Research Software in Political Science.
ReLogit: Rare Events Logistic Regression (with Gary King and Langche Zeng), copyright 1999–2003. Latest Version 2.0, released January 22, 2003. Performs logistic regression when the sample is unbalanced or has been selected by a rule correlated with the dependent variable.
Awards and Research Grants
American Political Science Association, Jack L. Walker, Jr. Outstanding Article Award (for making an outstanding contribution to research and scholarship on political organizations and parties), 2009.
National Science Foundation, Research Grant, “Candidate Ambiguity and Voter Choice” (with Robert Van Houweling), 2009–11.
American Political Science Association, Giovanni Sartori Award (for the best book developing or applying qualitative methods), 2008.
National Science Foundation, Early Career Development (CAREER) Award, "Credible Commitments in International Relations," 2006–11.
National Science Foundation, "Studies of Spatial Reasoning in Political Choice" (with Paul Sniderman and Robert Van Houweling), 2006–08.
Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences, Fellow, 2006–07.
Howard Foundation, George A. and Eliza Gardner Howard Fellowship, 2006–07.
National Science Foundation: Time-Sharing Experiments for the Social Sciences (TESS), "Audience Costs in International Crises," 2003
National Science Foundation: Time-Sharing Experiments for the Social Sciences (TESS), "Political Choice Spaces and Political Choices" (with Paul Sniderman), 2003
Center for Latin American Studies,
2002, 2003
Institute for International Studies, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007
Institute for Research in the Social Sciences, 2007
Office of Technology Licensing, 2001–04
Social Science History Institute, 2001, 2003
Stanford Institute for the Quantitative Study of Society, 2001
American Political Science Association, Okidata Best Research Software Award, 1999
Harvard Merit Fellowship (awarded to the top ten Ph.D. students in any field at Harvard), 1997–98
Doctoral Dissertation Research Fellowships
MacArthur Foundation, MacArthur
Fellowship in Transnational Security, 1999–2000
Social Science Research Council, International Dissertation Field Research
Fellowship, 1998–99
Institute for the Study of World Politics, Dissertation Fellowship, 1998–99
Foreign Language and Area Studies Fellowship, 1997–98
National Science Foundation, Graduate Research Fellowship, 1994–97
Marshall
Scholarship (to study for a master's degree at
Scholar's Medal for Highest
Achievement in the School of Foreign Service, 1992
Nevils Medal for Highest Scholarship in U.S. Diplomatic History, 1992
Walsh Medal for Highest Scholarship in International Politics, 1992
Phi Beta Kappa Honor Society, 1991
Omicron Delta Epsilon Honor Society, 1991
Alpha Sigma Nu Honor Society, 1991
National Champion in Extemporaneous Speaking, Runner-up in Team Debate, 1988
Visiting Positions
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Visiting Scholar, July 2006
International Monetary Fund, Research Department, Visiting Scholar, April 2004
Conference Presentations and Invited Talks
New York University, Experimental Political Science Conference, February 2010
Northwestern University, Center for International and Comparative Studies, February 2010
California Institute of Technology, Political Economy Seminar, December 2009
American Political Science Association Conference, September 2009
Stanford University, Summer Institute in Political Psychology, July 2009
UC San Diego, “West Coast Experimental Political Science Conference” (discussant), May 2009
University of California at
Berkeley, "Reputation in International Relations" Conference, April
2009
Midwest Political Science Association Conference, April 2009
Waseda University, Tokyo, Graduate School of Economics, January 2009
Doshisha University, Kyoto, January 2009
University of California at Berkeley, Boalt Hall School of Law, October 2008
American Political Science Association Conference, September 2008
Stanford University, Summer Institute in Political Psychology, July 2008
University of Oregon, Department of Political Science, May 2008
Princeton University, "Domestic Preferences and Foreign Economic
Policy" Conference, April 2008
Midwest Political Science Association Conference, April 2008
International Studies Association Conference, March 2008
Princeton University, Department of Politics, March 2008
University of Pennsylvania, Browne Center for International Affairs, March 2008
Harvard University, Weatherhead Center for International Affairs, March 2008
Stanford University, Research Workshop in American Politics, February 2008
Princeton University, "Reputations and International Agreements"
Conference, February 2008
University of California at San Diego, Project on International Affairs,
February 2008
Ohio State University, Mershon Center for International Security Studies,
February 2008
Yale University, Department of Political Science, January 2008
UCLA, Department of Political Science, January 2008
University of Chicago, Department of Political Science, December 2007
University of Minnesota, Department of Political Science, December 2007
University of Rochester, Department of Political Science, November 2007
University of California at Berkeley, Department of Political Science, November
2007
University of Notre Dame, Department of Political Science, November 2007
University of Chicago, Harris School of Public Policy, November 2007
Stanford University, International Political Economy Society Conference,
November 2007
Georgetown University, School of Foreign Service, October 2007
Duke University, Department of Political Science, October 2007
University of Michigan, Ford School of Public Policy, October 2007
American Political Science Association Conference, September 2007
Stanford University, Methods of Analysis Program in the Social Sciences, May
2007
Columbia University, Political Economy Seminar, May 2007
University of Rochester, Department of Political Science, April 2007
Midwest Political Science Association Conference, April 2007
University of Minnesota, Political Economy Colloquium, March 2007
Rice University, Department of Political Science, February 2007
University of California at Berkeley, Haas Institutional Analysis Seminar,
January 2007
Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences, January 2007
Stanford Law School, International Law Workshop, December 2006
Princeton University, Department of Politics, November 2006
Princeton University, International Political Economy Society Conference,
November 2006
UCLA, "States and Capital Markets in Comparative Historical
Perspective" Conference, October 2006
Yale University, Leitner Political Economy Workshop, September 2006
American Political Science Association Conference, September 2006
New York University, Department of Politics, April 2006
Princeton University, "Rationality and Reputation in International
Relations" Conference, April 2006
Stanford University, "Trade Liberalization and its Consequences"
Conference, April 2006
Midwest Political Science Association Conference, April 2006
International Studies Association Conference, March 2006
University of Michigan, Political Economy of International Finance Conf.
(participant), October 2005
Duke University, Global Governance and Democracy Seminar, September 2005
American Political Science Association Conference, September 2005
Stanford University, Summer Institute in Political Psychology, July 2005
University of Pennsylvania, "Time Sharing Experiments for Social
Sciences" Conference, June 2005
Columbia University, International Politics Seminar, May 2005
Midwest Political Science Association Conference, April 2005
International Studies Association Conference, March 2005
Stanford University, SCID Latin America Conference (discussant), November 2004
International Society for New Institutional Economics Conference (Tucson),
October 2004
American Political Science Association Conference, September 2004
University of Chicago, Program on International Politics, Economics, and
Security, May 2004
Midwest Political Science Association Conference, April 2004
University of Southern California, "Compliance in International Law"
Conference, April 2004
International Monetary Fund, Research Department, April 2004
University of California at San Diego, Department of Political Science, March
2004
University of California at San Diego, Political Economy of International
Finance Conf., March 2004
Harvard University, "Politics of Globalization" Conference, October
2003
American Political Science Association Conference, September 2003
Stanford University, "Argentina at a Crossroads" Conference, May 2003
Midwest Political Science Association Conference, April 2003
Claremont Graduate University, "Global Political Economy Data"
(participant), April 2003
World Affairs Council, Palo Alto, January 2003
American Economic Association Conference (discussant), January 2003
Political Economy of International Finance Conference (Georgetown,
participant), October 2002
American Political Science Association Conference, September 2002
Teaching Awards
Allan V. Cox Medal for Faculty Excellence Fostering
Undergraduate Research,
Keynote Speaker,
Dean's Award for Distinguished Teaching,
Grants from Stanford University (Vice Provost for Undergraduate Education) to support the Political Science Program for Undergraduate Research, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008.
Grants from
Derek Bok Certificate for Excellence in Teaching,
Teaching Interests
International Relations: IR theory; international political economy
Political Economy: the politics of economic development; electoral politics; spatial models of voting
Methodology: econometrics and data analysis; research design; experimental methods
Teaching Experience
Undergraduate courses:
Introduction to International
Relations, Stanford University
The Politics of Economic Development, Stanford University
Honors Thesis Advisor, Stanford University
Directed readings on International Law and International Trade, Stanford
University
Graduate Courses:
International Relations Theory,
Stanford University
Theoretical Issues in International Political Economy, Stanford University
Research Workshop in International Relations, Stanford University
Directed readings on Spatial Models of Voting, Stanford University
Other Teaching:
Interpreting and Presenting
Statistical Results, APSA Annual Meeting Short Course, 1999
Introduction to Quantitative Political Methodology (Teaching Fellow), Harvard
University, 1997
The Cuban Revolution: A Self-Debate (Teaching Fellow), Harvard University, 1997
Tutor in Government, Leverett House, Harvard University, 1996–2000
Debate Instructor, Berkeley, Stanford, University of Kentucky, and University
of Texas, summers 1989–1992
Ph.D. Students (with degree year and initial job placements):
Matthew Carnes (Ph.D. 2008),
Georgetown University
Catherine Duggan (Ph.D. 2007), Harvard Business School
Ebru Erdem (Ph.D. 2006), University of California, Riverside
Eugenia Guilmartin (Ph.D. 2002), United States Military Academy
Moonhawk Kim (Ph.D. 2005), University of Colorado at Boulder
Solomon Major (Ph.D. 2005), Naval Postgraduate School
Nikolay Marinov (Ph.D. 2003), Yale University
André de Mello e Souza (Ph.D. 2005), Pontifíca Universidade Católica do Rio de
Janeiro
Margaret Peters (ABD)
Netithorn Praditsarn (Ph.D. 2005),
Tonya Putnam (Ph.D. 2005),
Todd Sechser (Ph.D. 2007),
Rachel Stein (ABD)
Nikki Velasco (ABD)
Jessica Weeks (Ph.D. 2009),
Conferences Organized
Sovereign Debt and
Frontiers in Latin American Political Economy.
A Conference of the
University Service
Stanford Department of Political Science:
Founder and Director, Political
Science Undergraduate Research Program, 2002–present
Faculty Search Committee, 2001–02, 2007–08, 2008–09 (chair) , 2009–10
Plans and Policies Committee, 2008–09, 2009–10
Graduate Admissions Committee, 2001, 2003, 2005, 2006
Field Convener, International Relations Subfield, 2002–03
Department Representative, Conference on Training for Teaching Assistants, 2001
Office Allocation Committee, 2001–02
C-LIB Subcommittee on the Future
of Stanford's Libraries, 2009–present
Committee on Academic Computing and Information Systems, 2007–present
Research Experience Program Steering Committee/Advisory Board, 2006–present
Institute for Research in the Social Sciences Junior Faculty Advisory
Committee, 2006–present
International Documents Librarian Search Committee, Stanford Libraries, 2005–06
Grant Evaluator, Office of Technology Assessment, 2003
Grant Evaluator, Institute for International Studies, 2002, 2003, 2005, 2006
Grant Evaluator, Undergraduate Research Office, 2002, 2006
Admissions Committee, International Policy Studies Graduate Program, 2001–02
Executive Committee, International Relations and International Policy Studies,
2001–present
Outside Chair, Ph.D. exam committees in Business, Economics, History,
2001–present
Academic advisor for more than 90 Stanford undergraduates, 2001–present
Professional Activities
Reviewer: American Journal of Political Science,
American Political Science Review, Economics & Politics, Economics Letters, Electoral Studies,
European Journal of Political Research,
International Interactions, International Organization, International
Studies Quarterly, Journal of Conflict Resolution, Journal of
International Economics, Journal of Politics, Perspectives on
Politics, Political Analysis, Political Psychology, Political Research Quarterly, Quarterly Journal of Political Science, Review
of International Economics, Social Science Quarterly, World
Politics, World Trade Review,
Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences, Grawemeyer Award for
Ideas Improving World Order, National Science Foundation (Political Science and
Economics), Princeton University Press, Routledge Press, Time Sharing
Experiments for the Social Sciences (TESS).
Editorial Board Member, International Organization, 2009–11; International
Interactions, 2009–11; International Studies Quarterly, 2009–13, World Politics 2009–12.
Robert O. Keohane Award Committee, International Organization, 2009.
Mancur Olson Best Dissertation Award Committee,
Political Economy Division, APSA, 2010.
Annual Meeting Section Head, International Relations and Domestic Politics
Division,
Member: American Political Science Association,
Return to Mike Tomz's Homepage
CV | Publications | Working Papers |
Software
Revised September 2009