Department
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piazzesi@stanford.edu

“No-Arbitrage Taylor Rules”
(with Andrew Ang
and Sen Dong) updated September 2007, NBER Working paper 13448.
"Futures Prices as
Risk-adjusted Forecasts of Monetary Policy" (with Eric Swanson) Journal of Monetary Economics 2008, 55, May issue, pp. 677-691. New York Times 7/11/04
“Asset Prices and
Asset Quantities” (with Martin Schneider), Journal of the European Economic Association
2007, 5, p. 380-389.
“Inflation Illusion,
Credit, and Asset Pricing’’ (with Martin Schneider),
forthcoming in John Y. Campbell (ed.) ”Asset Prices
and Monetary Policy”, 2006. Article in the Region: “Masters of Illusion”
“Equilibrium Yield
Curves” (with Martin
Schneider) and zip-file with MATLAB programs, in Daron
Acemoglu, Kenneth Rogoff,
and Michael Woodford, NBER Macroeconomics
Annual 2006 , published in 2007, Cambridge MA: MIT press p. 389-442.
"Housing, consumption,
and asset pricing" (with Martin Schneider and Selale
Tuzel), Journal
of Financial Economics 83, March 2007 (lead article), pp. 531-569. Economist 4/20/06.
“Modeling Bond Yields
in Finance and Macroeconomics” (with Francis X. Diebold and Glenn Rudebusch), American
Economic Review P&P Volume 95, Issue 2, May 2005, pp. 415-420. Appendix.
“What does the yield curve
tell us about GDP growth?" (with Andrew Ang
and Min
Wei), Journal of Econometrics
2006, 131, pp. 359-403. Economist 6/2/05. Businessweek 01/09/06. Out of sample forecasts, Dec 2005
"Bond risk premia" (with John
Cochrane), Appendix
and zip-file
with MATLAB programs, American Economic
Review Volume 95, Issue 1, March 2005, pp. 138-160. Out of sample forecasts, Feb 2007
"Bond yields and the
Federal Reserve", Journal of
Political Economy Volume 113, Issue 2, April 2005 pp. 311-344.
Earlier
2001 version: "An
econometric model of the yield curve with macroeconomic jump effects",
NBER Working paper no 8246.
"Corporate
earnings and the equity premium" (with Francis Longstaff),
2004, Journal of Financial Economics
Volume 74 (lead article), Issue 3, pp. 401-421.
"A No-Arbitrage Vector Autoregression of Term Structure Dynamics with Macroeconomic
and Latent Variables" (with Andrew Ang), Journal of Monetary Economics Volume
50, Issue 4, May 2003, pp. 745-787.
"The Fed and Interest Rates: A High-frequency
Identification" (with John Cochrane), American Economic Review P&P,
May 2002, Volume 92, Issue 2, pp. 90-95. zip-file with MATLAB programs.
“Estimating Rational
Expectations Models”, prepared for the New Palgrave, May 2007.
"Affine term structure models"
prepared for the Handbook of Financial Econometrics.
zip-file with
MATLAB programs.
“The Role of Policy Rules in Inflation
Targeting, Commentary”, Federal
Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 2004, Volume 86, Issue 4, pp. 113-15.
“The 6D
Bias and the Equity-Premium Puzzle: Comment," B. S. Bernanke and K. Rogoff, NBER macroeconomics annual 2001. Volume 16.
"Note on exponential-affine
stock prices" answers questions raised at the NBER asset pricing
spring conference 2002 in
CEPR
Focus Session Overview Slides