third class log.log

  log type:  text

 opened on:   3 Oct 2005, 10:55:40

 

. edit

(3 vars, 4 obs pasted into editor)

- preserve

 

. desmat: poisson count color live, verbose

 

Desmat generated the following design matrix:

 

nr   Variables       Term                        Parameterization

     First    Last

 

 1    _x_1           color                       ind(1)

 2    _x_2           live                        ind(1)

 

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -9.5395876 

Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9.5395873 

 

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =          4

                                                  LR chi2(2)      =       9.58

                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0083

Log likelihood = -9.5395873                       Pseudo R2       =     0.3342

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

       count |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

        _x_1 |  -.6931472    .244949    -2.83   0.005    -1.173238    -.213056

        _x_2 |   .2411621   .2326211     1.04   0.300    -.2147668    .6970909

       _cons |   3.091042   .1922751    16.08   0.000      2.71419    3.467895

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

   Poisson regression

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   Dependent variable                                                               count

   Optimization:                                                                       ml

   Number of observations:                                                              4

   Initial log likelihood:                                                        -14.328

   Log likelihood:                                                                 -9.540

   LR chi square:                                                                   9.578

   Model degrees of freedom:                                                            2

   Pseudo R-squared:                                                                0.334

   Prob:                                                                            0.008

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

nr Effect                                                               Coeff        s.e.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   count

     color

1      Green                                                           -0.693**     0.245

     live

2      Water                                                            0.241       0.233

3    _cons                                                              3.091**     0.192

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

*  p < .05

** p < .01

 

. set linesize 79

 

. *note that the lr chisquare at the top of every output tests the current model against the constant only model. See My Excel File for a summary of this.

. poisson count

 

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -14.328367 

Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -14.328367  (backed up)

 

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =          4

                                                  LR chi2(0)      =      -0.00

                                                  Prob > chi2     =          .

Log likelihood = -14.328367                       Pseudo R2       =    -0.0000

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

       count |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

       _cons |   2.931194   .1154701    25.38   0.000     2.704877    3.157511

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

. predict const_only

(option n assumed; predicted number of events)

 

. table color live, contents (mean  const_only)

 

------------------------

          |     live   

    Color | Lilly  Water

----------+-------------

     Blue | 18.75  18.75

    Green | 18.75  18.75

------------------------

 

. poisgof

 

         Goodness-of-fit chi2  =  9.822078

         Prob > chi2(3)        =    0.0201

 

. *This goodness of fit test indicates that the actual data could have been

generated from the constant only model with a probability of 0.02,

or in other words this much deviation from uniformity could be expected 2% of the time.

.

. *now a quick look at what the dummy variables themselves look like

. desmat: poisson count color*live, verbose

 

Desmat generated the following design matrix:

 

nr   Variables       Term                        Parameterization

     First    Last

 

 1    _x_1           color                       ind(1)

 2    _x_2           live                        ind(1)

 3    _x_3           color.live                  ind(1).ind(1)

 

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -9.417463 

Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -9.4173319 

Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -9.4173319 

 

Poisson regression                                Number of obs   =          4

                                                  LR chi2(3)      =       9.82

                                                  Prob > chi2     =     0.0201

Log likelihood = -9.4173319                       Pseudo R2       =     0.3427

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

       count |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

        _x_1 |  -.8329091   .3787852    -2.20   0.028    -1.575315   -.0905037

        _x_2 |   .1603427   .2837522     0.57   0.572    -.3958014    .7164867

        _x_3 |   .2451225    .497174     0.49   0.622    -.7293206    1.219566

       _cons |   3.135494   .2085144    15.04   0.000     2.726813    3.544175

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   Poisson regression

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   Dependent variable                                                    count

   Optimization:                                                            ml

   Number of observations:                                                   4

   Initial log likelihood:                                             -14.328

   Log likelihood:                                                      -9.417

   LR chi square:                                                        9.822

   Model degrees of freedom:                                                 3

   Pseudo R-squared:                                                     0.343

   Prob:                                                                 0.020

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

nr Effect                                                    Coeff        s.e.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   count

     color

1      Green                                                -0.833*      0.379

     live

2      Water                                                 0.160       0.284

     color.live

3      Green.Water                                           0.245       0.497

4    _cons                                                   3.135**     0.209

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

*  p < .05

** p < .01

 

. poisgof

 

         Goodness-of-fit chi2  =  7.95e-06

         Prob > chi2(0)        =         .

 

. table color live, contents (mean _x_1)

 

------------------------

          |     live   

    Color | Lilly  Water

----------+-------------

     Blue |     0      0

    Green |     1      1

------------------------

 

. table color live, contents (mean _x_2)

 

------------------------

          |     live   

    Color | Lilly  Water

----------+-------------

     Blue |     0      1

    Green |     0      1

------------------------

 

. table color live, contents (mean _x_3)

 

------------------------

          |     live   

    Color | Lilly  Water

----------+-------------

     Blue |     0      0

    Green |     0      1

------------------------

 

. desmat: poisson count color*live=ind(2)*ind(2)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   Poisson regression

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   Dependent variable                                                    count

   Optimization:                                                            ml

   Number of observations:                                                   4

   Initial log likelihood:                                             -14.328

   Log likelihood:                                                      -9.417

   LR chi square:                                                        9.822

   Model degrees of freedom:                                                 3

   Pseudo R-squared:                                                     0.343

   Prob:                                                                 0.020

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

nr Effect                                                    Coeff        s.e.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   count

     color

1      Blue                                                  0.588       0.322

     live

2      Lilly                                                -0.405       0.408

     color.live

3      Blue.Lilly                                            0.245       0.497

4    _cons                                                   2.708**     0.258

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

*  p < .05

** p < .01

 

. desmat: poisson count color*live=ind(2)*ind(1)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   Poisson regression

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   Dependent variable                                                    count

   Optimization:                                                            ml

   Number of observations:                                                   4

   Initial log likelihood:                                             -14.328

   Log likelihood:                                                      -9.417

   LR chi square:                                                        9.822

   Model degrees of freedom:                                                 3

   Pseudo R-squared:                                                     0.343

   Prob:                                                                 0.020

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

nr Effect                                                    Coeff        s.e.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

   count

     color

1      Blue                                                  0.833*      0.379

     live

2      Water                                                 0.405       0.408

     color.live

3      Blue.Water                                           -0.245       0.497

4    _cons                                                   2.303**     0.316

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

*  p < .05

** p < .01

 

. *The one interaction term is fundamental,

the choice of comparison categories is arbitrary

. tabulate color live [fweight=count], lrchi2

 

           |         live

     Color |     Lilly      Water |     Total

-----------+----------------------+----------

      Blue |        23         27 |        50

     Green |        10         15 |        25

-----------+----------------------+----------

     Total |        33         42 |        75

 

 likelihood-ratio chi2(1) =   0.2445   Pr = 0.621

 

* Remember: the actual data have r*c df, in this case 4.

The independence model has r+c-1 df, or in this case 3.

The difference between them is 1 df.

 

. exit, clear