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       log:  C:\AAA Miker Files\current class files\methods tabular arrays\clas
> s 2.smcl
  log type:  smcl
 opened on:  29 Sep 2003, 11:28:55


. tabulate color live [fweight=count]

| Live Color | Lilly Water | Total -----------+----------------------+---------- Blue | 23 27 | 50 Green | 10 15 | 25 -----------+----------------------+---------- Total | 33 42 | 75



. *here's our first loglinear model of the class: . desmat: poisson count color live -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Poisson regression -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Dependent variable count Optimization: ml Number of observations: 4 Initial log likelihood: -14.328 Log likelihood: -9.540 LR chi square: 9.578 Model degrees of freedom: 2 Pseudo R-squared: 0.334 Prob: 0.008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- nr Effect > Coeff s.e. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- count color 1 Green -0.693** 0.245 live 2 Water 0.241 0.233 3 _cons 3.091** 0.192 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * p < .05 ** p < .01

. *Question is, what does this independence model actually look like? . predict indep_model (option n assumed; predicted number of events)

. tabulate color live [fweight= indep_model]

| Live Color | Lilly Water | Total -----------+----------------------+---------- Blue | 22 28 | 50 Green | 11 14 | 25 -----------+----------------------+---------- Total | 33 42 | 75



. tabulate live color [fweight= indep_model]

| Color Live | Blue Green | Total -----------+----------------------+---------- Lilly | 22 11 | 33 Water | 28 14 | 42 -----------+----------------------+---------- Total | 50 25 | 75



. desmat: poisson count live*color -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Poisson regression -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Dependent variable count Optimization: ml Number of observations: 4 Initial log likelihood: -14.328 Log likelihood: -9.417 LR chi square: 9.822 Model degrees of freedom: 3 Pseudo R-squared: 0.343 Prob: 0.020 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- nr Effect Coeff s.e. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- count live 1 Water 0.160 0.284 color 2 Green -0.833* 0.379 live.color 3 Water.Green 0.245 0.497 4 _cons 3.135** 0.209 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * p < .05 ** p < .01

. poisgof

Goodness-of-fit chi2 = 7.95e-06 Prob > chi2(0) = .

. *This is the saturated model. It has 4 terms, and the dataset has 4 data points. So this model fits the data exactly. . predict saturated (option n assumed; predicted number of events)

. table live color, contents (sum count sum saturated)

------------------------ | Color Live | Blue Green ----------+------------- Lilly | 23 10 | 23 10 | Water | 27 15 | 27 15 ------------------------

. desmat: poisson count color live -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Poisson regression -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Dependent variable count Optimization: ml Number of observations: 4 Initial log likelihood: -14.328 Log likelihood: -9.540 LR chi square: 9.578 Model degrees of freedom: 2 Pseudo R-squared: 0.334 Prob: 0.008 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- nr Effect Coeff s.e. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- count color 1 Green -0.693** 0.245 live 2 Water 0.241 0.233 3 _cons 3.091** 0.192 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * p < .05 ** p < .01

. poisgof

Goodness-of-fit chi2 = .2445188 Prob > chi2(1) = 0.6210

. poisgof, pearson

Goodness-of-fit chi2 = .2435065 Prob > chi2(1) = 0.6217

. *These are the two goodness of fit tests for our independence model. The independence model has 3 df, the actual data have 4df, so there is a difference of 1 df. The expected value of chisquare(n) is n. Anything less than n mean > s there is less difference between predicted values and the actual data than > we would expect by chance. . *Note that the goodness of fit test comparing the independence model to the s > aturated model is another, separate kind of test of independence. In this ca > se both the goodness of fit test (between the independence model and the satu > rated model) and the significance test for the log odds ratio of interaction > (from the saturated model) yield the same result: insignificance. That is, t > he there is no statisically significant difference between the independence m > odel and the actual data. . log close log: C:\AAA Miker Files\current class files\methods tabular arrays\clas > s 2.smcl log type: smcl closed on: 29 Sep 2003, 12:19:13 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------