Available Online Publications

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Parties, Participation, and Representation in America: Old Theories Face New Realities. Originally prepared for Delivery at the 2000 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Washington, DC, August 31-September 3.

 

Whatever Happened to the Median Voter? Originally prepared for the MIT Conference on Parties and Congress, Cambridge, MA. October 2, 1999.


”Dark Side of Civic Engagement,” in Civic Engagement in American Democracy, Theda Skocpol and Morris Fiorina, eds. (Washington, D.C.:  Brookings, 1999):  395-425.

 

Further Evidence of the Partisan Consequences of Legislative Professionalism American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 43, No. 3. (Jul., 1999), pp. 974-977.

 

Professionalism, Realignment, and Representation The American Political Science Review, Vol. 91, No. 1 (March 1997), pp. 156-162.

 

Divided Government in the American States: A Byproduct of Legislative Professionalism? The American Political Science Review Vol. 88, No. 2 (March 1994), pp. 304-316.

 

Is Negative Voting an Artifact? American Journal of Political Science, Vol.  33 No.  2 (May 1989), pp. 423-439 (with Kenneth Shepsle).

 

The Constituency Service Basis of the Personal Vote for U.S. Representatives and British MPs American Political Science Review Vol. 78, No. 1 (March 1984), pp. 110-125 (with Bruce Cain and John Ferejohn).

 

Books

Representatives, Roll Calls, and Constituencies (Lexington, MA.: D. C. Heath, 1974).

Congress-Keystone of the Washington Establishment (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1977). Co-winner of the 1977 Washington Monthly Political Book Award. Enlarged second edition, 1989.

Retrospective Voting in American National Elections (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1981).

The Personal Vote: Constituency Service and Electoral Independence (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1987) (with Bruce Cain and John Ferejohn). Winner of the 1988 Richard F. Fenno Prize.

Home Style and Washington Work (Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press, 1989) (Edited with David Rohde).

Divided Government (New York: Macmillan, 1992). (2nd ed. Allyn & Bacon, 1996).

The New American Democracy (Needham Heights, MA: Allyn & Bacon, 1998) (with Paul Peterson).

Civic Engagement in American Democracy (Washington, D.C.:  Brookings, 1999) (edited with Theda Skocpol).

Continuity and Change in House Elections (Stanford, CA:  Stanford University Press, in press)  (edited with David Brady and John Cogan).

Articles and Chapters

"A Note on Probability Matching and Rational Choice," Behavioral Science 16 (1971): 158-166.

"Electoral Margins, Constituency Influence and Policy Moderation: A Critical Assessment," American Politics Quarterly 1 (1973): 479-498.

"The Paradox of Not Voting: A Decision Theoretic Analysis," American Political Science Review 68 (1974): 525-536 (with John Ferejohn).

"Historical Change in House Turnover," in Change in Congress , Norman Ornstein, ed. (New York: Praeger, 1975) (with David Rohde and Peter Wissel).

"Formal Models in Political Science," American Journal of Political Science 19 (1975): 133-159. Reprinted in Lecturas de Teoria Politica Positiva , Josep M. Colomer, ed. (Madrid: Instituto de Estudios Fiscales, 1991): 37-78.

"Constituency Influence: A Generalized Model and Its Implications for Statistical Studies of Roll Call Behavior," Political Methodology 2 (1975): 249-266.

"Purposive Models of Legislative Behavior," American Economic Review Proceedings and Papers 65 (1975): 407-414 (with John Ferejohn).

"Closeness Counts Only in Horseshoes and Dancing," American Political Science Review 69 (1975): 920-925 (with John Ferejohn).

"Partisan Loyalty and the Six Component Model," Political Methodology 3 (1976): 7-18.

"The Voting Decision: Instrumental and Expressive Aspects," Journal of Politics 38 (1976): 390-413.

"The Case of the Vanishing Marginals: The Bureaucracy Did It," American Political Science Review 71(1977): 177-181.

"An Outline for a Model of Party Choice," American Journal of Political Science 21 (1977): 601-625. Reprinted in Lecturas de Teoria Politica Positiva : 339-376.

"Committee Decisions Under Majority Rule: An Experimental Study," American Political Science Review 72 (1978): 575-598 (with Charles Plott).

"Voters, Bureaucrats, and Legislators: A Rational Choice Perspective on the Growth of Bureaucracy, Journal of Public Economics 9 (1978): 239-254 (with Roger Noll).

"Economic Retrospective Voting in American National Elections: A Micro-Analysis," American Journal of Political Science 22 (1978): 426-443.

"Toward a Theory of Legislative Decision," in Game Theory and Political Science, Peter C. Ordeshook, (eds.) (New York: New York University Press, 1978): 165-190 (with John Ferejohn, and Herbert Weisberg).


"Voters, Legislators and Bureaucracy: Institutional Design in the Public Sector," American Economic Review Proceedings and Papers (1978): (with Roger Noll).

"Control of the Bureaucracy: A Mismatch of Incentives and Capabilities," in William Livingston, Lawrence Dodd and Richard Schott (eds.) The Presidency and the Congress: A Shifting Balance of Powers? (Austin Texas: Lyndon B. Johnson School of Public Affairs, Lyndon Baines Johnson Library, 1979): 124-142. Reprinted in Lawrence Dodd and Bruce Oppenheimer (eds.), Congress Reconsidered (Washington: Congressional Quarterly, 2nd ed., 1981): 332-348.

"Candidate Preference Under Uncertainty," in The Electorate Reconsidered , John Pierce and John Sullivan, (eds.) (Beverly Hills, CA: Sage, 1979): 237-256 (with Herbert Weinsberg).

"Majority Rule Models and Legislative Elections,"Journal of Politics 41 (1979): 1081-1104 (with Roger Noll).

"The House is Not a Home: British MPs and Their Constituencies," Legislative Studies Quarterly IV (1979): 501-524 (with Bruce Cain and John Ferejohn).

"A Nonequilibrium Approach to Legislative Decision Theory," Behavioral Science 25 (1980): 140-148 (with John Ferejohn and Edward Packel).

"The Decline of Collective Responsibility in American Politics," Daedalus Summer 1980, 25-45.

"Short and Long Term Effects of Economic Conditions on Individual Voting Decisions," in Douglas Hibbs and Heino Fassbender (eds.) Contemporary Political Economy (Amsterdam: North-Holland, 1981): 73-100.

"Universalism, Reciprocity, and Distributive Policy Making in Majority Rule Institutions," in Research in Public Policy Analysis and Management , vol. 1, John P. Crecine (ed.), (JAI Press, 1981): 197-221.

"Some Problems in Studying the Effects of Resource Allocation in Congressional Elections," American Journal of Political Science 25 (198 1): 543-567.

"Equilibrium, Disequilibrium and the General Possibility of a Science of Politics," in Political Equilibrium . Peter Ordeshook and Kenneth Shepsle (eds.), (Boston: Martinus-Nijhoff, 1982): 49-64 (with Kenneth Shepsle).

"Congressmen and Their Constituencies: 1958 and 1978," in Proceedings of the Thomas P. O'Neill. Jr. Symposium on the U.S. Congress , Dennis Hale, ed., (Boston: Eusey Press, 1982): 33-64.

"Legislative Choice of Regulatory Forms: Legal Process or Administrative Process?" Public Choice 39 (1982): 33-61. [Winner of 1982 Duncan Black Prize of the Public Choice Society (best article)].

"Who is Held Responsible? Further Evidence on the Hibbing-Alford Thesis," American Journal of Political Science 27 (1983): 158-164.

"The Constituency Component: A Comparison of Service in Great Britain and the United States," Comparative Political Studies 16 (1983): 67-91 (with Bruce Cain and John Ferejohn).


"The Presidency and the Contemporary Electoral System," in Michael Nelson, ed., The Presidency, and the Political System (Washington, D.C.: Congressional Quarterly Press, 1983): 204-226. Revised version in second edition, 1988: 411-434 and third edition, 1990: 443-469.

"The Constituency Service Basis of the Personal Vote for U.S. Representatives and British MPs," American Political Science Review 78 (1984): 110-125 (with Bruce Cain and John Ferejohn).

"Group Concentration and the Delegation of Legislative Authority," in Roger Noll, ed., Regulatory Policy and the Social Sciences (Berkeley, CA: University of California Press, 1985): 175-197.

"Constituency Service in the United States and Great Britain," in Lawrence Dodd and Bruce Oppenheimer, eds.,Congress Reconsidered (Washington: Congressional Quarterly Press, 3rd ed., 1985): 109-130 (with Bruce Cain and John Ferejohn).

"Incumbency and Realignment in Congressional Elections," in The New Direction in American Politics. John Chubb and Paul Peterson, eds., (Washington, D.C.: Brookings, 1985): 91-115 (with John Ferejohn).

"Legislator Uncertainty, Legislative Control, and the Delegation of Legislative Power," Journal of Law, Economics and Organization 2 (1986): 33-51.

"Sophisticated Voting and Agenda Independence in the Distributive Politics Setting," American Journal of Political Science 3 1 (1987): 169-193 (with John Ferejohn and Richard McKelvey).

"A Survey of the State of Party Government in the United States," in Richard Katz, ed., Party Governments: European and American Experiences (Berlin: de Gruyter, 1987): 270-300.

"The Reagan Years: Turning to the Right or Groping for the Middle?" in The Resurgence of Conservatism in Britain. Canada and the United States. Barry Cooper and Allan Kornberg, eds., (Durham, N.C.: Duke University Press, 1988): 430-460.

"Formal Theories of Leadership: Agents, Agenda-Setters, and Entrepreneurs," in Leadership and Politics . Bryan D. Jones, ed., (University of Kansas Press, 1989): 17-40 (with Kenneth Shepsle).

"Is Negative Voting an Artifact?" American Journal of Political Science May 1989: 423-439 (with Kenneth Shepsle).

"Constituency Service, Reputation, and the Incumbency Advantage," in Home Style and Washington Work , Morris Fiorina and David Rohde, eds., (Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press, 1989: 17-45) (with Douglas Rivers).

"A Positive Theory of Negative Voting," in Information and Democratic Processes , John Ferejohn and James Kuklinski, eds., (University of Illinois Press, 1990): 219-239 (with Kenneth Shepsle).

"Information and Rationality in Elections," in Information and Democratic Processes , John Ferejohn and James Kuklinski, eds., (University of Illinois Press, 1990): 329-342.

"The Ruptured Legacy: Presidential-Congressional Relations in Historical Perspective," in Looking Back on the Reagan Presidency , Larry Berman, ed. (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1990: 268-287) (with David Brady).

"The Electorate in the Voting Booth," in The Parties Respond , L. Sandy Maisel, ed., (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1990): 116-133. Revised for 2nd ed. 1993: 123-142.

"Elections and Economics in the 1980's, in Politics and Economics in the Eighties , Alberto Alesina and Geoffrey Carliner, eds. (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1991): 17-38.

"Coalition Governments, Divided Governments, and Electoral Theory," Governance 4 (1991): 236-249.

"Divided Government in the States," in The Politics of Divided Government , Gary W. Cox and Samuel Kernell, eds., (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1991): 179-202.

"The Marginals Never Vanished?" British Journal of Political Science 22(1992): 21-3 8, (with Steven Ansolabehere and David Brady).

"An Era of Divided Government," in Developments in American Politics, Bruce Cain and Gillian Peele, eds., (London: Macmillan, 1992): 324-54. Reprinted in Political Science Quarterly (1992): 3 87-410. Reprinted in Rivista Italiana di Scienza Politica 22 (1992): 195-232.

"Legislative Incumbency and Insulation," Encyclopedia of the American Legislative System , Joel H. Silbey, ed., (New York: Charles Scribner's Sons, 1994): 513-527. (With Timothy Prinz).

"Political Change in the States: Another Example of Unintended Consequences?" in Bryan Jones, ed., The New American Politics (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1994): 122-13 1.

"Divided Government in the American States: A Byproduct of Legislative Professionalism?" American Political Science Review 88 (1994): 304-316.

"The Causes and Consequences of Divided Government: Lessons of 1992-94," in Divided Government: Change, Uncertainty, and the Constitutional Order , Peter Galderisi, ed., with Roberta Q. Herzberg and Peter McNamara. (Landham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield, 1996).

"Voting Behavior," in Perspectives on Public Choice , Dennis Mueller, ed. (Cambridge, England: Cambridge University Press, 1997): 391-414.

"Professionalism, Realignment, and Representation," American Political Science Review 91 (1997): 156-162.

"Further Evidence of the Partisan Consequences of Legislative Professionalism, "  American Journal of Political Science 43 (1999):  974-977.

"A Dark Side of Civic Engagement,"  in Civic Engagement in American Democracy, Theda Skocpol and Morris Fiorina, eds. (Washington, D.C.:  Brookings, 1999):  395-425.

"The Nationalization of Electoral Forces Revisited," in Continuity and Change in House Elections, David Brady, John Cogan, and Morris Fiorina, eds.  (Stanford, CA:  Stanford University Press, in press) (with David Brady and Robert D'Onofrio).

"Keystone' Reconsidered," in Congress Reconsidered, Lawrence Dodd and Bruce Oppenheimer, eds.  (Washington, DC:  CQ Press, 7th ed., in press).

"Congress in the Era of the Permanent Campaign,"  in The Permanent Campaign, Thomas Mann and Norman Ornstein, eds. (Washington, DC:  American Enterprise Institute, in press) (with David Brady).

Comments and Commentaries

"Big Government: A Congressman's Best Friend," Washington Monthly (March, 1977): reprinted in numerous collections of readings for undergraduates.

"The Incumbency Factor," Public Opinion (September/October, 1978): 42-44.

"Comments," in Clifford S. Russell, ed., Collective Decision Making (Washington, DC: RFF, 1979): 46-51.


"Flagellating the Federal Bureaucracy," Society 20 (March/April, 1983): 66-73. Reprinted in The Political Economy. Thomas Ferguson and Joel Rogers, eds. (Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 1984): 224-234.

"Alternative Rationales for Restrictive Procedures," Journal of Law, Economics and Organization (Fall 1987): 337-343.

"The Macro Underpinnings of Micro Research," in Extension of Remarks (APSA Legislative Studies Section Newsletter, November 1988): 122-127.

"Elections and Representation," in John Hibbing, ed., The Changing World of the U.S. Senate (Berkeley, CA: IGS Press, 1990): 395-400.

"The Problems With PPT," Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 6 (1990): 255-261. "Retrospective Voting," in L. Sandy Maisel, ed. Political Parties and Elections in the United States: An Encyclopedia (New York: Garland, 1991): 959-963.

"Divided Government: The Story in the States," The Public Perspective 3 (November/December, 1991): 21-24.

"Divided Government in the States," PS: Political Science & Politics 24 (December, 1991): 646-650.

"The Great Divide," The Washington Monthly 23 (December 1991): 53-55.

"Response to Born," Legislative Studies Quarterly 19 (1994): 117-125.

"Afterword, But Undoubtedly Not the Last Word," in Kenneth Shepsle and Barry Weingast, eds. Positive Theories of Congressional Institutions (Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press, 1995): 303-312.

"Rational Choice and the New (?) Institutionalism,"Polity 9 (1995): 107-115.


"Rational Choice, Empirical Contributions, and the Scientific Enterprise," Critical Review 9 (1995): 85-94.

"Looking for Disagreement in All the Wrong Places," in Ian Shapiro and Russell Hardin, eds., Nomos 37: Political Order (New York: New York University Press, 1996): 155-166.

"When Stakes Are High, Rationality Kicks In,"  New York Times , February 26, 2000:  A15-17.

"Rational Choice in the Study of Politics," in Neil Smelser and Paul Bates, eds., International Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral Sciences (Oxford, England:  Elsevier, in press).