Felipe
Varas
Info
PhD
Candidate, Finance
Stanford
Graduate School of Business
CV
Email
Research
Working Papers
• “Contracting
Timely Delivery with Hard to Verify
Quality” (Job Market Paper)
I study a continuous-time
principal-agent model with hidden effort and
imperfect monitoring about project quality. I
consider a situation in which the agent can
manipulate output so as to improve observed
performance at the expense of project quality. The
principal can either monitor quality at some cost or
can make payments contingent on the subsequent
performance of the project. The principal balances
the provision of incentives to exert effort and the
cost of monitoring quality. The optimal contract
requires unpredictable termination, as otherwise the
agent would manipulate performance when he is close
to being fired. I analyze the case in which the
principal can commit to a mixed strategy of
termination, and also where the principal cannot
commit to terminate the agent. In the latter case,
the mixed strategy of termination has to be
incentive compatible for the principal. In the
optimal contract, cash compensation is deferred
longer than in the absence of manipulation. I find
that manipulation causes the optimal contract to
lower the rate of termination of the agent compared
to the case with pure hidden effort.
In
markets with asymmetric information, an informed
seller can use inefficient delay in trade as a
signal of quality. When assets are divisible, the
seller can also signal his private information by
retaining partial ownership of the asset.
However, retention of ownership is a credible signal
only if the seller can commit not to trade again in
the near future. I analyze the dynamics of trade in
a signaling model in which such commitment is not
possible. In equilibrium, the seller holdings and
the length of delay in trade are related. The cost
of inefficient delay is higher when the seller owns
a higher fraction of the asset. As a consequence,
the expected delay between trades is a decreasing
function of the fraction of the asset owned by the
seller. The predicted patterns of trade are
driven by the incentives of the low type to build a
reputation of owning a high quality asset.
Work in Progress
• Contingent Capital Requirements (with Peter DeMarzo and Darrell Duffie)