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March 29, 2009

Easy software?

This afternoon, I added a "recent links" section to the left hand side of the main notebook index page.  This section tracks links from my delicious account.  After figuring out that I already had the Feeds App Lite plugin installed, it literally took about 5 minutes to get everything working.  From my perspective, that is simply awesome --- I didn't have to write a line of code!  Thanks to the authors of Movable Type and the Feeds App Lite for doing a great job.

Update It turns out Live Writer decided to change the quote setting to insert gnarly "curly" quotes instead of the standard straight quotes.  Ick, now I have to fix all these ugly quotes.  I'm not sure what isn't working now.

April 17, 2009

Birthday distribution

Many of my friends have birthdays in the next few weeks.  This fact prompted a discussion about the uniformity of birthdays.  In Outliers, Gladwell makes the case that birthdays of a group of individuals may appear skewed for subtle reasons; however such results shouldn't hold for the populace.

This question is easy to answer with a bit of Googling.  A Dartmouth professor has precisely the required data --- though only for a single year.

http://www.dartmouth.edu/~chance/teaching_aids/data/birthday.txt

I used R to make a quick display of the data.

Cutting and pasting this into R produces the following output for me.
dob-distribution

No, that isn't a data problem.  There really are two groups of birthdays.

While looking for the overall date of birth data, I discovered another file from the CDC that explains the effect.

http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/statab/t941x16.pdf

The data in that file show many fewer births on weekends compared with weekdays.  This effect is precisely what we see in the plot, which R helps us validate.

dob-dayofweek

This analysis was good enough for my own personal edification.  There is still a bit of work left to make these claims statistically valid, but that isn't my point here.

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