Iran: Future Prospects

 


First Gathering of Young Iranian Scholars of North America

 

Stanford University    October 2-3, 2004

 

Presentation Abstracts  


 

Science, Education and Culture Session

 


 

Iranian Weblogs: The History and Challenges of the New-found Freedoms of the Internet

Sanam Dolatshahi, Weblogger

 

The developments of Iranian weblogs has been probably the most liberating movement in the history of Iranian media. After a state-imposed ban on more than 100 titles of published press, weblogs and websites became the sole providers of free flow of information in the Iranian society. This talk will take a brief look at the history of the emergence and growth of Iranian weblogs, as well as the dramatic changes that Iranian weblogs have created both in cyber- and social reality of Iran. It will focus specifically on the participation of Iranian women in writing weblogs as a place for having their voices heard and the obstacles and threats that weblog writers have faced so far. It will also look at the prospects of the effects that Iranian weblogs may have in the future.


A Critical view toward Iranian Educational System 

Babak Heydari, Ph.D. Candidate, UC-Berkeley 

Among all areas that have been the center of attention in the movement towards development in Iran, the educational system has been one that has been usually overlooked. Although many intellectuals agree that cultural development is a key point in the movement toward modernization, few of them have shown interests in the educational system. However it probably is the most important and influential area that can be practically improved through planning.  The lack of importance of this system in the eyes of the government is also evident from the importance of related organizations and ministries within different administrations.

Lacking a pragmatic approach is one of the most important short-comings of the educational system in Iran. Many socio-economical problems such as unemployment, brain drain, non-productive economy among others, are strongly related to this issue. In this talk, I will discuss this and other  shortcomings of the Educational System and propose alternative solution. 

 


 

Tradition and Modernity Session


Tradition and Modernity in Iran: The Question of the Archive

Afshin Hafizi, Ph.D. Candidate, University of Florida

 

My point of departure will be an apparently marginal note on the back page of the Persian edition of Dr. Milani's book on modernity in Iran, "Tajadod wa Tajadod- setizi dar Iran". I would like to show that this apparent marginality of a note constitutes as well as foregrounds his fundamental methodological principle with regards to the dilemma of modernity in Iran. What Milani does is in fact to deconstruct the binary opposition of tradition and modernity by showing that there are, on the one hand, elements of tradition in modernity (which leads one to a critical approach to modernity, something that is being represented by certain trends in the postmodern culture and theory) and, on the other hand, elements of modernity in tradition (which brings up a whole set of discussions on historiography, the relationship to the past and the dead, the work of mourning, the archive, etc). A statement like this can be very controversial and needs much qualification, but I propose to elucidate it, within a discursive framework of discussions, by references to Walter Benjamin's idea of history and Jacques Derrida's idea of the archive.


The Impact of Religion on the Dynamics of Our Society 

Alireza Kazemi, M.S. in Industrial Engineering, University of Florida 

 

Religious beliefs have been one of the most controversial subjects in the history of man kind. As a nation with one of the youngest populations in the world and with the unique background and social characteristics of our country this issue demands extra attention. Even though we might not be able to offer solutions to every single issue, we are entitled to ask and discuss the very essential questions that on the role of these beliefs and how it affects our individual and social lives. These basic questions determine the quality of individual life and the social goals that we face. I will provide an overview of the ways our beliefs have been and will be affecting us as individuals and the dynamics of our society as a whole.

 


 

Iranian Expatriate Communities Session

 


 

An Overview of Socioeconomic Characteristics of the Iranian-American Community

Ali Khademhossini, Ph.D. Candidate, MIT

 

The study of the socioeconomic status of Iranian-Americans is important for understanding the needs and characteristics of the Iranian community. Based on this need, we performed an analysis of the 2000 U.S. census in order to obtain statistical information on a variety of characteristics of this population including size, education, income, housing and family structure. In this talk, we will give a brief summary of these findings. Along with these and other characteristics this talk will propose potential reasons and specific drawbacks and inaccuracies for these census results and will provide guidelines for future studies on this topic.


An Opinion Survey of Iranian American Community

Farzan Parsinejad, Ph.D. Candidate, Northeastern University

 

The topic of my presentation will be the design and preparation of an opinion survey for individuals in the Iranian American community, which is an effort to learn more about them and their needs. This opinion survey is aimed at understanding the characteristics, needs and concerns of individuals in the Iranian-American community. The results of the survey can provide community leaders with information on how better serve the community and help the community members understand the views of the community at large. The goal of this survey is to assess the perception of individuals of Iranian ancestry of the Iranian American community and potential common values, needs and concerns. This presentation will discuss our methods and thoughts of designing a questionnaire and will explore possible ways of launching the survey in order to reach the most number of individuals in Iranian American community. We started our project by first defining the goals and finding who exactly we are targeting. Then we divide our areas of which we are interested to learn into 6 categories which include: The family structure, nature of the interaction among individuals in the community, the part of Iranian culture that they associate with more, their emotional/economic ties to Iran, their perception of being a minority, and how much have they assimilated into the American society.


Network of Iranian Academics, Prospects and Challenges

Yasser Karachian, Ph.D. Candidate, University of Toronto

 

Knowledge Diffusion Network, a non-profit organization, was established last year by a few alumni of Iranian universities who reside in Canada, U.S., U.K. and Iran to promote collaboration of Iranian academics living abroad with the scientific community in Iran. Our current project is the Visiting Lecturer Program in which we try to facilitate the connection between the Iranian scientists who go to Iran for family visits and the universities in Iran. In my talk, I will discuss the challenges ahead of us for establishing a network of Iranian academics in abroad, how it is possible for volunteers from different parts of the world to work with each other in a group and the way such an organization should collaborate with the Iranian universities and institutions.


 

Returning to Iran: Challenges and Potentials

Hazhir Rahmandad, Ph.D. Candidate, MIT

 

In this study we look into factors that contribute to success and failure of individuals who return to Iran upon completion of their studies, or after spending some time working abroad. Interviews with a number of different individuals who has returned to Iran in the last couple of decades and have made contributions to academic and business life, as well as individuals who have had a negative experience with their decision to return, informs this study. We analyze the interviews looking for common themes and useful insights that can help those who make a decision on returning to Iran in near future.


 

What is a Realistic Vision for the Next 15 years? (Forum)

Moderators: 

Mehdi Yahyanejad, Postdoctoral Fellow, Stanford University

 Hazhir Rahmandad, Ph.D. Candidate, MIT

Many of the Iranians living abroad desire to have a positive impact on Iran. However, this desire has often been translated into weak political alliances with little effect on what is happening inside Iran, while other dimensions of having an impact, e.g. economic and cultural, have been largely neglected. In short, there has been little dialogue on the big picture of what they can achieve in a long run, and what are the feasible ways of doing so in the context of day to day life abroad. In this context, there are many questions to ask and answer: What can Iranians living abroad realistically achieve in the next 15 years? What actions can they take to have more influence on their own fate as immigrants living in a foreign land? How can they influence life of Iranians living in Iran? Do they have enough economic, political, scientific links to Iran to influence of the Iranian society? What can be a realistic goal for Iranian society abroad in their impact on Iran for the next 15 years? And in a more personal level, do they have the capability and knowledge required to contribute to those goals? Considering the personal challenges they have in their life, what is feasible for each and everyone to do? We propose a session not to answer these questions, since we do not know the answers, but to start a conversation on them. As such we will have neither a speaker nor any audience in our session. Everyone in the room will be able to participate in a moderated discussion. We have prepared a framework for the discussion which will allow it to remain organized, while eliciting different perspectives. We will begin a session with a short introduction to set the ground rules, define the problem, and engage the audience in brainstorming different aspects of the issue.


 

Socioeconomic Development and Industrialization Session

 


Iran's Socioeconomic Development Outlook:

Challenges and Potentials

Ali Mostashari, Ph.D. Candidate, MIT

My presentation will begin with an analysis of Iran's current social and economic development situation, primarily with discussions on data sources of the UNDP Human Development Indicators, World Bank and IMF economic data, and the Iranian Statistics Bureau in a comparative context with peer countries. I will then discuss the prospects of social and economic development in Iran within alternative political development paths that the country can take in the next decade. I will finish by highlighting the types of changes that can be expected under different scenarios.


 

 

Introduction and Analysis of Dynamic Capability Concept as an Approach for Creating National Competitive Advantages in Iran 

Kaveh Majlessi, Graduate Student, Harvard University 

 

Unfortunately, the gap which exists between Iran and the developed world is very intense and it means that the rate of development in Iran is not at an acceptable level right now. We have not built up sufficient and effective competitive advantages relative to the world and we are gradually losing the advantages we have. The advantages in today's world are not sustainable because of the rapid changes. In such a world, we need to build temporary and continuous advantages to be able to compete with the world. The dynamic capability concept which has originated in the strategic management literature, provides the opportunity of building such advantages. In my presentation, I want to talk about the characteristics of dynamic capability and mechanisms that help us to develop dynamic capabilities in our country. I believe that it can open a new window to the development issue.


 

Healthcare in Iran - Past, present, and trends of the future

Babak Mohit, Ph.D. Candidate, University of Florida

 

In the past 30 years, the Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) in Iran has dropped from 120 deaths per 1000 live births in 1979 to 30 per 1000 live births in 2000, and thus life expectancy has risen from 60 years to nearly 70 years. Despite the chaos of revolution, war, and a turbulent geographical region, the present generation of Iranians is living a longer life compared to its predecessors. This talk will focus on the three corner stones of healthcare policy, which are access, cost, and quality and how these elements were used in Iran to raise the standard of living. It will also include a discussion on other social developments Iran will need to go through in order to be able to improve or even maintain these standards.


 

Developing Industrial Culture in Iran

Nader Pirouz, Undergraduate Student, UC-Berkeley

As a result of a series of various factors such as inefficient institutions, and ineffective policies combined with historical and geographical obstacles Iran has not become an industrial economy. Consequently, developing an industrial culture in Iran continues to be an important challenge. This presentation examines the fundamental causes of this issue from the private sector perspective, and subsequently suggests new strategies to overcome the challenges ahead. Moreover, the crucial role of Iranian immigrants has been analyzed, and will be discussed in great detail.


Politics and Governance Session


Iran’s Transition to Democracy: Maps of Misreading?

Mojtaba Mahdavi. Ph.D. Candidate, University of Western Ontario

A quarter century after the establishment of the Islamic Republic of Iran in the name of "cultural authenticity", the establishment has been challenged over the very same issue. Children of the revolution, the social base of the current reform movement, are now skeptical of all clerical solutions. Iran is clearly in transition. What is unclear, however, relates to the nature and the future of democracy and modernity in Iran. Are there different roads to democracy and a variety of democracies at the end of the roads? Are there multiple modernities? Can Western modernity be Iran's future goal, or should Iran seek a different path of modernity? To answer such questions, I shall argue we should first "de-familiarize" some terms and theories associated with the process of democratization in Iran. This is to suggest that one has to go beyond the prevailing interpretations that explain Iran's transition to democracy as an extension of the historical tensions between particularism and universalism, tradition and modernity, and religion and democracy. In this context, I shall attempt to shed some lights on four possible "maps of misreading" as they relate to Iran's future prospects.


 

Making it Their Own: Women and Local Councils’ Elections in Iran

Nazanin Shahrokni, Ph.D. Candidate, UC-Berkeley

Since the establishment of the new regime in Iran in 1979, the state has tried to re-structure the society by establishing new policies and institutions. The primary intention of the regime was perhaps to control and direct its citizens, the outcomes were double-sided. As far as women are concerned these new Islamic policies and institutions highered their status in some respects and lowered it in some other. The most important thing is that through out all these years women (contrary to what some may believe) have ­most of the time- functioned as active agents of change (whether in state-build institutions such as Nehzat Savad Amoozi and Baseej and etc. or in the more independent institutions such the women’s magazines and NGOs). Amongst the many examples is women’s participation in the city and village councils. Although councils themselves turned out to be, to some extent, a failure but nevertheless 800 women in the first round and more than 1000 women in the second around were elected as councilors; the achievements of whom were often neglected or belittled.


Structures and Agents in Rentier States; A Comparative Study

Babak Tammadon, Ph.D. Candidate, UC-Berkeley

While creating economic, political, and social categories is considered a mainstay of social scientific work, few categories endure beyond the lifespan of the ‘school’ or ‘paradigm’ with which they are associated. In international political economy, for instance, even the ubiquitous and entrenched categories of ‘developed’ and ‘developing’ have come under increased questioning. Yet the category, ‘Rentier States’, has survived the past few decades to become one of the most enduring of its kind. Its longevity and continued use may in fact signal its explanatory value; the category continues to capture the essence of a certain economic and socio-political reality in a number of states whose revenue sources are dominated by rents accrued as mineral exports or, alternatively, states that count foreign grants as a major source of revenue. Of these, at least the former states have exports that are deemed crucial to the global system of production, yet remain underdeveloped amidst unsurpassed booms and wealth transfers. This presentation offers a comparative analysis of such states within the general category of ‘Rentiers’, using a number of cases and arguments. I will first attempt to review the relevant literature and select key points and arguments necessary for a comparative discussion. I will then address what I perceive to be a deficiency in the literature, namely, the absence of a proper taxonomy of Rentier states based on revenue source, purported effect of said source on state institutions, political system, and stability. I will then review the various arguments offered for the paradox of under-development in the face of immense capital accumulation, concentrating on the interaction of structures and agents in Rentier states.


The Impact of U.S. Sanctions on Iran

Mohammad Hafezi, Ph.D. Candidate, Harvard university

We review the assessment of the U.S. sanction against Iran during passed two decades mainly based on the available literature about this issue. By considering the subject from different prospective: economic, social, military etc. we try to summarize the impacts of the U.S. economic sanctions against and its achievements towards its goals.


 

 

Persian Student Association at Stanford has gladly provided the web space.