Posts Tagged ‘Stanford Research-Working Paper’

Linguistic Diversity and Stock Trading Volume

Friday, April 5th, 2013

Linguistic Diversity and Stock Trading Volume (SSRN)

Authors:  Yen-Cheng Chang,  Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance; China Academy of Financial Research (CAFR);  Harrison G. Hong, Princeton University – Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Larissa Tiedens, Stanford Graduate School of Business;
Bin Zhao, Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance; China Academy of Financial Research (CAFR)
Paper Date: March 14, 2013
Rock Center for Corporate Governance at Stanford University Working Paper No. 134

Abstract:      

We test the hypothesis that the linguistic diversity of a stock’s investor base leads to more trading. Trading might be due to beliefs differing across languages or investor exposure to multiple languages leading to more trading ideas. Using stock message boards from China, which has ten languages, we measure the linguistic diversity of a stock’s investor base using a Herfindahl index of messages posted from different languages. A firm’s diversity increases in the number of languages spoken in the province where it is headquartered. Using the latter as the instrument, trading volume in a stock rises with its linguistic diversity. We then attempt to discriminate among competing mechanisms. We also show using a sample of forty-one countries that countries with more linguistic diversity have greater stock market turnover.

New working paper: Debt Overhang and Capital Regulation (SSRN)

Friday, March 30th, 2012

Debt Overhang and Capital Regulation
Rock Center for Corporate Governance at Stanford University Working Paper No. 114 MPI Collective Goods Preprint, No. 2012/5 (Social Science Research Network)
Paper Date: March 23, 2012
Authors:
Anat R. Admati, Stanford Graduate School of Business;
Peter M. DeMarzo, Stanford Graduate School of Business; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER);
Martin F. Hellwig, Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods; University of Bonn – Department of Economics;
Paul C. Pfleiderer, Stanford Graduate School of Business

Abstract: 
We analyze shareholders’ incentives to change the leverage of a firm that has already borrowed substantially. As a result of debt overhang, shareholders have incentives to resist reductions in leverage that make the remaining debt safer. This resistance is present even without any government subsidies of debt, but it is exacerbated by such subsidies.

Our analysis is relevant to the debate on bank capital regulation, and complements Admati et al. (2010). In that paper we argued that subsidies that favor debt over equity are the key reason that banks funding costs would be lower if they “economize” on equity. Subsidies come from public funds, and reducing them does not represent a social cost. It is thus irrelevant for assessing regulation. Other arguments made to support claims that “equity is expensive” are flawed.

Like reduction in subsidies, the effects of leverage reduction on bank managers or shareholders do not represent a social cost. In fact, we show that debt overhang creates inefficiency, since shareholders would resist recapitalization even when this would increase the combined value of the firm to shareholders and creditors. Moreover, debt overhang creates an “addiction” to leverage through a ratchet effect. In the presence of government guarantees, the inefficiencies of excessive leverage are not fully reflected in banks’ borrowing costs.

Since banks’ high leverage is a source of systemic risks and imposes costs on the public, resistance to leverage reduction leads to social inefficiencies. The main beneficiaries from high leverage may be bank managers. The majority of the banks’ shareholders, who hold diversified portfolios and who are part of the public, are likely to be net losers. Our analysis highlights the critical importance of effective capital regulation and high equity requirements, especially for large and “systemic” financial institutions.

We analyze shareholders’ preferences when choosing among various ways leverage can be reduced. We show that, with homogeneous assets, if the firm’s security and asset trades have zero NPV, and the firm has a single class of debt outstanding, then shareholders find it equally undesirable to deleverage through asset sales, pure recapitalization, or asset expansion with new equity. When these conditions are not met, shareholders can have strong preferences for one approach over another. For example, if the firm can buy back junior debt, asset sales are the preferred way to reduce leverage. This preference for asset sales, or “deleveraging,” can persist even if such sales are inefficient and reduce the total value of the firm.

 Keywords: capital regulation, financial institutions, capital structure, “too big to fail,” systemic risk, bank equity, debt overhang, underinvestment, recapitalization, deleveraging, bankruptcy costs, Basel.

JEL Classifications: G21, G28, G32, G38, H81, K23

Rock Center Working Paper Series Vol. 4 No. 2, 03/19/2012

Monday, March 19th, 2012

Rock Center for Corporate Governance Logo

New working research papers via SSRN, the Social Science Research Network

Table of Contents

A Dialogue on the Costs and Benefits of Automatic Stays for Derivatives and Repurchase Agreements

James Darrell Duffie, Stanford University – Graduate School of Business
David A. Skeel, University of Pennsylvania Law School, European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI)

Failure is an Option: Failure Barriers and New Firm Performance

Robert Eberhart, Stanford University – Management Science & Engineering, Stanford University Shorenstein APARC / SPRIE
Charles E. Eesley, Stanford University
Kathleen M. Eisenhardt, Stanford University – Management Science & Engineering

Knowledge, Compensation, and Firm Value: An Empirical Analysis of Firm Communication

Feng Li, University of Michigan at Ann Arbor – Stephen M. Ross School of Business
Michael Minnis, University of Chicago – Booth School of Business
Venky Nagar, University of Michigan – Stephen M. Ross School of Business
Madhav V. Rajan, Stanford Graduate School of Business

Reforming Money Market Funds

Martin N. Baily, Brookings Institution
John Y. Campbell, Harvard University – Department of Economics, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
John H. Cochrane, University of Chicago – Booth School of Business, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Douglas W. Diamond, University of Chicago – Booth School of Business, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
James Darrell Duffie, Stanford University – Graduate School of Business
Kenneth R. French, Dartmouth College – Tuck School of Business, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Anil K. Kashyap, University of Chicago – Booth School of Business, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Frederic S. Mishkin, Columbia Business School – Finance and Economics, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
David S. Scharfstein, Harvard Business School – Finance Unit, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Robert J. Shiller, Yale University – Cowles Foundation, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), Yale University – International Center for Finance
Matthew J. Slaughter, Dartmouth College – Tuck School of Business, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Hyun Song Shin, Princeton University – Department of Economics, Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)
Jeremy C. Stein, Harvard University – Department of Economics, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
Rene M. Stulz, Ohio State University (OSU) – Department of Finance, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI)

The Efficacy of Shareholder Voting: Evidence from Equity Compensation Plans

Chris S. Armstrong, University of Pennsylvania – Accounting Department
Ian D. Gow, Harvard Business School
David F. Larcker, Stanford University – Graduate School of Business

Sudden Death of a CEO: Are Companies Prepared When Lightening Strikes?

David F. Larcker, Stanford University – Graduate School of Business
Brian Tayan, Stanford University – Graduate School of Business

New in Stanford Rock Center Working Paper Series: CEO Preferences and Acquisitions

Thursday, December 8th, 2011

CEO Preferences and Acquisitions

Dirk Jenter 
Stanford Graduate School of Business; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Katharina Lewellen 
Dartmouth College – Tuck School of Business

December 2011

Rock Center for Corporate Governance at Stanford University Working Paper No. 105

Abstract: 
This paper explores the impact of target CEOs’ retirement preferences on the incidence, the pricing, and the outcomes of takeover bids. Mergers frequently force target CEOs to retire early, and CEOs’ private merger costs are the forgone benefits of staying employed until the planned retirement date. Using retirement age as an instrument for CEOs’ private merger costs, we find strong evidence that target CEO preferences affect merger patterns. The likelihood of receiving a takeover bid increases sharply when target CEOs reach age 65. The probability of a bid is close to 4% per year for target CEOs below age 65 but increases to 6% for the retirement-age group, a 50% increase in the odds of receiving a bid. This increase in takeover activity appears discretely at the age-65 threshold, with no gradual increase as CEOs approach retirement age. Moreover, observed takeover premiums and target announcement returns are significantly lower when target CEOs are older than 65, reinforcing the conclusion that retirement-age CEOs are more willing to accept takeover offers. These results suggest that the preferences of target CEOs have first-order effects on both bidder and target behavior.

Keywords: takeover bids, CEO retirement preferences and acquisitions, mergers & acquisitions

 JEL Classifications: G32, G34, G35

 

What do Boards Really Do? Evidence from Minutes of Board Meetings

Friday, November 18th, 2011

Note: The following guest blog posting is from Miriam Schwartz-Ziv and Michael S. Weisbach[1].  Miriam Schwartz-Ziv is from The Hebrew University of Jerusalem and Harvard University. Michael S. Weisbach is from Ohio State University, NBER, and SIFR.

What do Boards Really Do? Evidence from Minutes of Board Meetings

 Summary 

In recent years more than a dozen economic models have attempted to examine what board actually do. However, because board meetings are generally a “black box” to which scholars have very limited access, these models proceed from wildly different underlying assumptions, and accordingly, make very different predictions. These models generally fall into two categories:

(1)             “Managerial models” – assume boards play a direct role in managing the firm, and that they make the actual decisions pertaining to the business of the firm.

(2)              “Supervisory models” – assume that the board only observes the CEO’s actions, but does not make any business decisions. Based on the boards’ observations, it evaluates/reevaluates the CEO, and decides whether to retain or fire the CEO.

We evaluate the extent these models depict a reasonable reality and realistic board dynamics: we analyze a unique database from a sample of real-world boardrooms – minutes of board meetings and board-committee meetings of eleven business companies for which the Israeli government holds a substantial equity interest (GBCs).  This approach allows us to examine the day-to-day functions of boards.

Consistent with the supervisory models, our minutes-based data suggest that monitoring is the most common and typical work of boards: in our sample, 67% of the issues the boards discussed were of a supervisory nature, boards were presented with only a single option in 99% of the issues discussed, and at the voting phase they disagreed with the CEO only 3.3% of the time. Nevertheless, we find that managerial models describe a reality that also exists at times: Boards requested to receive further information or an update for 8% of the issues discussed, and they took an initiative with respect to 8.1% of them. Furthermore, in 63% of the meetings, boards took at least one of these actions or did not vote in line with the CEO, indicating that in most meetings boards are active, and take at least one action.

We also examine the extent of dissension among directors. In most economic models boards are modeled as a monolithic entity. We find support for this approach: in only 3.3% of the cases in the sample, boards did not vote unanimously.

The minutes data allows us to draw some inferences that are impossible to make using publicly available data. For example, our sample suggests that prior work understates the fraction of CEO departures that are “forced”. While our sample is too small to draw reliable estimates of the understatement, there are at least two cases in our sample  (from a total of four departing CEOs) where the CEO was clearly coerced to leave by the board, yet there would be no way to know about this coercion using only publicly available data. The existence of these cases suggest that estimates of the fraction of CEO turnovers that are forced using publicly-traded data will underestimate perhaps substantially, the fraction of turnovers that are initiated by the board.

Last, we find evidence that larger boards are more active – in our sample larger boards are more likely to request further information or an update. However, larger boards also seem to have more coordination problems, as reflected by their voting patterns: they were more likely not to reach a consensus by the voting phase – i.e. not to vote unanimously. In addition, the CEO was also less likely to receive the boards’ consent to his proposal in larger boards, perhaps, indicating that CEOs with larger boards are less able to align the board to their proposal prior to the board meeting.

A potential concern is the extent to which the boards of our sample of Israeli government-controlled companies reflect other companies. It is impossible to know exactly how different our firms’ governance is from that of privately held companies in both in Israel and the rest of the world. Nevertheless, like directors of privately-held companies, these directors still have a fiduciary responsibility to maximize their firm’s profits, and our reading of the minutes suggests that they take this responsibility seriously. Furthermore, as we specify throughout the paper, the board dynamics we document are similar to those reported in interview-based studies, which are most often based on publicly-traded U.S. companies. For these reasons, we believe that the relationship between a CEO and a GBC board, and among the directors of GBCs, is likely to be similar to the corresponding relationships in other boardrooms.

To understand the role of boards of directors, we believe it is necessary to observe to the extent possible how they actually function. This paper is the first to document in any systematic fashion what boards actually do. Hopefully future research will be able to perform similar analyses for other samples of companies.

The full paper is available for download here.

[1] Miriam Schwartz-Ziv is from The Hebrew University of Jerusalem and Harvard University. Michael S. Weisbach is from Ohio State University, NBER, and SIFR.

Proxy Advisory Firms and Stock Option Exchanges: The Case of Institutional Shareholder Services

Monday, May 9th, 2011

STANFORD, Calif. — May 09, 2011

Many institutional investors rely on a proxy advisory firm to assist them in voting company proxies and fulfilling the fiduciary responsibility they have to vote in the interest of beneficial shareholders. But according to a new study at the Stanford Graduate School of Business, proxy advisory firm recommendations may actually decrease shareholder value.

The recommendation of proxy advisory firms is not inconsequential. Studies conducted by Stanford GSB faculty member David F. Larcker, who is Director of the Corporate Governance Research Program, and doctoral students Allan L. McCall and Gaizka Ormazabal, show that an unfavorable recommendation from the largest proxy advisory firm (Institutional Shareholder Services, ISS) can reduce shareholder support significantly, depending on the matter of the proposal.

While there are potential benefits and drawbacks to relying on the voting recommendations of proxy advisory firms, little empirical research to date has been performed on whether the voting recommendations of these firms are “correct.” That is, are shareholders really better off if they follow their recommendations?

To answer this question the researchers examined the impact of ISS voting policies on 264 exchange offers during 2004 to 2009. They find that companies that design their exchange offer so that it receives a positive recommendation from proxy advisory firms exhibit a statistically lower market reaction, lower operating performance, and higher executive turnover than those firms that do not design their plans in accordance with the proxy advisory firm guidelines. These results indicate that proxy advisory firm recommendations on stock option exchanges do not increase, and in fact actually decrease, shareholder value.

The research paper, “Proxy Advisory Firms and Stock Option Exchanges: The Case of Institutional Shareholder Services,” and companion case study, “Do ISS Voting Recommendations Create Shareholder Value?” are available online from the Stanford Corporate Governance Research Program: http://www.gsb.stanford.edu/cgrp/topics/shareholder/closer_look.html.

Larcker is coauthor, with Brian Tayan, of the book, “Corporate Governance Matters: A Closer Look at Organizational Choices and their Consequences” (FT Press-Pearson Prentice Hall, 2011).

Contact:

Stanford Graduate School of Business
Helen Chang, 650-723-3358
chang_helen@gsb.stanford.edu

Do ISS Voting Recommendations Create Value? (Stanford Closer Look Series)

Tuesday, April 19th, 2011

Do ISS Voting Recommendations Create Value? (PDF)
Authors: Professor David F. Larcker and Brian Tayan, MBA ’03

Many institutional investors rely on a proxy advisory firm to assist them in voting the company proxy and fulfilling their fiduciary responsibility to vote in the interest of beneficial shareholders.  The largest and most influential proxy advisory firm is Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS).  The recommendations of ISS are not inconsequential.  Academic and professional research suggests that a recommendation by ISS can change the outcome of a vote by 15 to 20 percent, depending on the matter of the proposal.

At the same time, there is little evidence that proxy advisory recommendations are correct or that they improve corporate outcomes.  In fact recent research suggests that they might actually decrease shareholder value.

We examine these issues as they relate to ISS guidelines for exchange offers and option repricings:

Do proxy advisors have appropriate incentive to verify that their recommendations are correct?

  • Should board members require evidence that ISS guidelines are value increasing before they adjust their policies to gain a favorable recommendation?
  • Proxy advisory firms enjoy significant barriers to entry and little competition.  Is this desirable for shareholders?

Read the attached Closer Look, and let us know!

Related Research Paper on SSRN: The Role of Proxy Advisory Firms in Stock Option Exchanges
Authors: David F. Larcker Allan L. McCall and Gaizka Ormazabal , Stanford Graduate School of Business

The Closer Look series is a collection of short case studies through which we explore topics, issues, and controversies in corporate governance. In each study, we take a targeted look at a specific issue that is relevant to the current debate on governance and explain why it is so important.

Is That CEO Telling the Truth?

Friday, August 13th, 2010

Is That CEO Telling the Truth?
Stanford GSB News, August 13, 2010
How do you tell if CEOs are not being truthful during quarterly earnings conference calls? Stanford Graduate School of Business researchers have developed a model to analyze the words and phrases used during these calls and found some specific speech patterns that give clues.

Referenced working paper:
Detecting Deceptive Discussions in Conference Calls (PDF)
Working paper dated: July 29, 2010
Authors: Professor David F. Larcker, Stanford University – Graduate School of Business; PhD student Anastasia A Zakolyukina, Stanford Graduate School of Business

Paper Abstract:
We estimate classification models of deceptive discussions during quarterly earnings conference calls. Using data on subsequent financial restatements (and a set of criteria to identify especially serious accounting problems), we label the Question and Answer section of each call as “truthful” or “deceptive”. Our models are developed with the word categories that have been shown by previous psychological and linguistic research to be related to deception. Using conservative statistical tests, we find that the out-of-sample performance of the models that are based on CEO or CFO narratives is significantly better than random by 4%- 6% (with 50% – 65% accuracy) and provides a significant improvement to a model based on discretionary accruals and traditional controls. We find that answers of deceptive executives have more references to general knowledge, fewer non-extreme positive emotions, and fewer references to shareholders value and value creation. In addition, deceptive CEOs use significantly fewer self-references, more third person plural and impersonal pronouns, more extreme positive emotions, fewer extreme negative emotions, and fewer certainty and hesitation words.

Related Media Coverage: Wall Street Journal Blogs: Deal Journal, “How Can You Tell If A CEO Is Lying?, August 11, 2010