Archive for July, 2010

How Big Banks Fail and What to Do about It

Friday, July 30th, 2010

Stanford Business Magazine Online, July 2010; In a new book Professor Darrell Duffie describes the financial network of incentives and financial contracts that lead to run-on-the-bank calamities during the financial crisis of 2007-2009. The Stanford Graduate School of Business finance professor argues that placing the global financial system on a sounder footing depends on an understanding of how the largest and most connected banks — the major dealer banks — can make a sudden transition from weakness to failure…

2010 Securities Class Actions Filings Continue to Decrease

Wednesday, July 28th, 2010

According to Mid-Year Report by Stanford Law School and Cornerstone Research

Decline Is Associated with a Decrease in Credit-Crisis Litigation Download the Full Report

Boston and Stanford, July 28, 2010—Federal securities class action activity continued to decrease in the first six months of 2010 to the lowest semiannual level since the first half of 2007, according to Securities Class Action Filings—2010 Mid-Year Assessment, a semiannual report prepared by the Stanford Law School Securities Class Action Clearinghouse in cooperation with Cornerstone Research.

A total of 71 federal securities class actions were filed in the first half of 2010, a 15.5 percent decline from the 84 filings in each half of 2009. The decline in filings is associated with a decrease in credit-crisis-related litigation, which accounted for only eight filings in the first half of 2010 compared with 37 filings in the first half of 2009 and 16 filings in the second half of 2009. In addition, the median lag time between the end of the class periods and the filing dates decreased to 25 days, slightly below the historic median of 28 days, and well below the spike in median lag time of 112 days observed during the second half of 2009.

Closer Look Series: Financial Manipulation-Words Don’t Lie

Friday, July 23rd, 2010

Closer Look Series: Topics, Issues and Controversies in Corporate Governance, No. CGRP-07, by David F. Larcker, James Irvin Miller Professor of Accounting, Director of Stanford Graduate School of Business Corporate Governance Research Program, And Brian Tayan, MBA ’03, Stanford GSB, Date: 7-23-2010

Reliable financial reporting is critical to the efficiency of capital markets. Despite its importance, managers may have incentive to misrepresent financial results for personal gain.

While academics and professionals have developed models to detect aggressive accounting, these have been met with limited success.Still, there is some evidence that quantitative models may be improved through the application of techniques developed by linguists and psychologists to identify deceptive language and behavior.

Why don’t shareholders and analysts apply these techniques to evaluate the truthfulness of management?

CEO Compensation – Bally Technologies

Friday, July 9th, 2010

CEO Compensation
(Commentary by David F. Larcker, James Irvin Miller Professor of Accounting, Director of Stanford Graduate School of Business Corporate Governance Research Program, And Brian Tayan, MBA ’03, Stanford GSB; Date: 7-09-2010)

Source: Bally Technologies, Inc., Form 8-K, Filed August 11, 2009

Much attention is paid to employee compensation contracts for their incentive value. The structure of compensation (in the form of salary, bonus, and equity grants) is important for the attraction, retention, and motivation of executives. Less clear is the incentive value that comes from indirect compensation and other perquisites.

Take, for example, Bally Technologies, a maker of casino equipment (primarily slot machines). In August 2009, the company revised the employment contract of CEO Richard Haddrill. Among the revisions:

-“Haddrill shall be entitled to a lump sum cash payment of $2,500,000 (the ‘Strategic Initiatives Bonus’) upon the first to occur of: (i) the achievement of certain strategic initiatives established by the Board of Directors on or before December 31, 2010 […], or (ii) a Change of Control occurring on or before December 31, 2010.

-“The Company shall pay to Haddrill $998,000 and, if such Change of Control occurs on or before December 31, 2010, an additional payment equal to $1,996,000.”

What incentives are these amendments intended to provide? One obvious possibility is that the board wants to encourage the CEO to find a buyer for the company, or at least position it for a sale. A more cynical interpretation is that a potential buyer has already been identified and this is a sophisticated way of positioning the CEO to profit.

Closer Look Series: Proxy Access: A Sheep, or Wolf in Sheep’s Clothing?

Thursday, July 8th, 2010


Closer Look Series: Topics, Issues and Controversies in Corporate Governance, No. CGRP-06, Professor David F. Larcker and Brian Tayan, MBA ’03, Date: 7-8-2010

At most companies, the board of directors has sole authority to nominate candidates for election to the board. In recent years, some governance experts have advocated rules lessening these restrictions and allowing shareholders greater access to nominate candidates.

Supporters of proxy access argue that, because directors are the representatives of shareholders, shareholders should have the right to nominate individuals to serve on their behalf. Opponents argue that shareholders lack firm-specific knowledge about the qualifications necessary to fill a board vacancy, and that proxy access will open the board to “special interests.”

We examine the issue. What impact will proxy access have on director elections? Will it improve or impair governance quality?

Related Research:
The Market Reaction to Corporate Governance Regulation (PDF PDF icon)
Working paper dated: May 3, 2010, by Prof. David F. Larcker, Prof. Dan Taylor, Wharton-Penn and doctoral student Gaizka Ormazabal .

Debt as a Performance Measure

Tuesday, July 6th, 2010

Commentary by David F.  Larcker, James Irvin Miller Professor of Accounting & Director, Stanford GSB Corporate Governance Research Program; and Brian Tayan, Stanford GSB Case Writer, MBA ’03.

A recent article in the Wall Street Journal highlights changes made to the long-term compensation contracts at AIG. AIG is in the unique situation of being close to bankruptcy and significantly owned by the U.S. government.

Under the program, executives will receive incentive compensation that is more heavily tied to the change in value of its subordinated debt than its stock price. In lieu of restricted stock, executives will instead receive long-term performance units (LTPU), 80 percent of the value of which is based on the change in value of the company’s 8.175% Series A-6 junior subordinated debentures and 20 percent of which is based on the company’s common stock. Interest coupons on the debt are converted into new LTPU shares. This structure is intended to align the interest of employees not only with shareholders, but also with U.S. taxpayers. According to the Wall Street Journal, the U.S. government holds $102 billion in senior debt and $49 billion in convertible preferred stock.

In designing efficient contracts, the board of directors aims to select performance measures that are correlated with management performance. In doing so, it tries to avoid measures that have a lot of “random volatility.” That is, the board wants the measure to be truly indicative of management performance, as opposed to reflecting lots of things that are not under the control of management. When there is too much volatility around the measure, you get capricious rewards—either way too much compensation or way too little, relative to what was merited. This is the common critique of stock option plans during the bull market of the 1990s—many executives got rich simply because the broader market went up, not because their decisions were making the firm relatively more valuable.

Boards tend to select share price as the best indication of long-term performance, although others are often included as well. This makes sense in the case of a liquid, solvent company that is trying to maximize shareholder value. (It is also consistent with the legal duty of the board to serve in the interest of shareholders). Share price is not perfect—it can be subject to changes in interest rates, economic conditions, and market whims that are outside the control of management—but it clearly aligns interests with those of investors.

When a company is close to bankruptcy, however, the value of the share price as a performance measure can begin to deteriorate. The stock becomes extremely risky. Changes in stock price may not be highly correlated with managerial performance. It would be natural for the board of directors to search for either supplemental or alternative performance measures for rewarding executives.

In the case of AIG, the price of debt instruments may become a more informative measure about whether management is adding value. This may explain the rather unusual choice of performance measures by the AIG board. An obvious alternative explanation is that there was implicit pressure from the government to focus direct managerial attention to paying back the TARP funds. In many respects, the government and other debtholders are really “AIG equityholders” because they are fundamentally the residual claimants if the value of AIG is below the face value of debt outstanding.

This raises some questions: holding aside the formal legal duties of the board to maximize shareholder value, when does it make sense to consider changes in the value of debt as a performance measure to evaluate managers? Is this only an issue for companies in dire financial straits? Might there be some reason to use debt to evaluate managerial performance in more healthy companies?

Sources:

-Serena Ng, “AIG Changes Pay Plan for its Stars,” The Wall Street Journal, June 24, 2010.
-AIG: Form 8-K, Filed May 28, 2010, with SEC

Disclosure of Strategic Performance Measures

Friday, July 2nd, 2010

Disclosure of Strategic Performance Measures
(Commentary by David F. Larcker, James Irvin Miller Professor of Accounting, Director of Stanford Graduate School of Business Corporate Governance Research Program, And Brian Tayan, MBA ’03, Stanford GSB; Date: 7-02-2010)

Source: The Coca-Cola Company, Form DEF 14A, Filed March 5, 2009

Confidentiality, at what price?  In May 2008, the Coca-Cola Company received a comment letter from the SEC requesting that the company improve disclosure on the performance targets used in the company’s bonus plan.  Rather than comply with this request, the company decided not to award performance-based bonuses but instead to award discretionary bonuses.  The difference matters, because the discretionary bonuses awarded were not tax deductible.  The company explained the rationale behind its decision:

“The Company believed that disclosing the ranges would allow a competitor to recreate the matrix of business performance targets and use this information to determine our business strategy. […]The Compensation Committee weighed the additional tax cost versus the competitive harm in disclosing the plan targets and determined that the potential competitive harm significantly outweighed the additional tax cost, which was not material.”