Foreword

Acknowledgments

Abbreviations and Indonesian Terms

I. Introduction

Framework for Agricultural Policy Analysis

Available Instruments

Government Objectives

Organization and Content of the Book

2. Recent Policy Influences on Rice Production

Recent Rice Policy in the Context of Food Policy Objectives

Recent History of Policy Influences on Rice Production

Macroeconomic Policies Affecting Rice Production

Crop Regulatory Policy

Conclusion

3. The International Rice Market

World Prices and Indonesian Food Policy

Recent Changes in World Trade and Prices

Policies and Future Changes in the World Rice Market

Conclusion

4. Rice Production Systems

Wetland Rice Production Systems

Conclusion

5. The Rural Labor Market in Indonesia

Alternative Views of the Rural Labor Market

Recent Empirical Evidence on the Rural Labor Market

Employment Patterns in Kabupaten Kediri (East Java)

Employment Patterns in Kabupaten Majalengka (West Java)

Employment Patterns in Kabupaten Klaten (Central Java)

The Rural Labor Market in Kabupatens Pinrang and Sidrap (South Sulawesi)

Comparison of Rural Labor Market Conditions on Java and in South Sulawesi

Institutional Changes in Labor-Hiring Practices

Wage Trends in the Rice Sector

Conclusion

Appendix 5.1. Field Survey Data on Wages in Rice Production

6. Technical Change in Wetland Rice Agriculture

Current Input Use in Indonesian Rice Production

The Impact of Technical Change on Farm Labor Demand and Income in Rice Production

Technical Change and Farm Income

The Future of Labor Use in Rice Farming

Conclusion

7. Policy Alternatives for Future Rice Production Growth

Social Profitability of Rice and Competing Crops

Policy Analysis Matrix Assumptions

Policy Analysis Matrix Results

Sensitivity Analysis

Defining a Future Production Strategy

Determining a Policy Mix for REPELITA V

Conclusion

Appendix 7.1. Policy Analysis Matrix Assumptions

8. Equity Effects of Rice Strategies

Linkages between Government Policies, Rice Production, and Rural Incomes

Income Transfers from Rice Policies

Rice and Employment

Rice and the Wage Rate

Rice and Expenditure Effects

Conclusion

Appendix 8. i. Analysis of Income Transfers

Appendix 8.2. The Transmission of Output Price Changes to the Wage Rate

9. Summary and Conclusions

The Past

The Near Future

The Principal Empirical Results

Complementarities and Conflicts among Objectives and Policy Instruments