EMF Workshop: Climate Policy Scenarios for Stabilization and in Transition & IAMC Meeting

February 5-8, 2008

Sofitel Hotel, Washington, DC

AGENDA

Tuesday, February 5
9:00am	Introduction and Objectives John Weyant, Energy Modeling Forum
9:30 9:45 10:15	Session 1: Uncertainty Analyses Chairman: Gary Yohe, Wesleyan University Gary Yohe, Wesleyan University. Introduction Richard Loulou, ETSAP and McGill University. Climate Targets Under Uncertainty
10:45	Break
11:15	Keywan Riahi, and Krey Volker, IIASA. Risk Hedging Strategies under Energy System and Climate Policy Uncertainties
11:45	Open discussion; plans for breakouts
12:30	Lunch
1:45	Energy Demand Considerations in Large Scale Modeling – Part I Chairman: James Lockhart, Exelon Power Hillard Huntington, Energy Modeling Forum, Stanford University. What Can Models Tell Us About Energy Demand/Efficiency? Andy Kydes, Energy Information Administration, U.S. Department of Energy. Issues With Estimating Efficiency and Efficiency Uptake in NEMS Frances Wood, Onlocation, Inc. Using NEMS to Estimate the Benefits of DOE’s Energy Efficiency Programs
3:30	Break and Discussion
4:00	Energy Demand Considerations in Large Scale Modeling – Part II Chairman: Sam Baldwin, Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy, Department of Energy Chris Bataille, Mark Jaccard and Nic Rivers, Simon Fraser University and MKJ Associates. Energy demand modeling in CIMS Leon Clarke and Steven Smith, Joint Global Change Research Institute, University of Maryland. Detailed End Use Sectors in the MiniCAM Integrated Assessment Model. Jayant Sathaye and Amol Phadke, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. Representing Energy Demand in Large Scale Models: Baselines, Market Failures, and Non Non-Energy Benefits
5:30	Adjourn
Wednesday, February 6
8:30am	Session 3: Update on Transition Scenario Work Chairman: Leon Clarke, Joint Global Change Research Institute Leon Clarke, JGCRI. Transition Scenarios: Introduction
9:00	Massimo Tavoni, FEEM. Global Transition Scenarios Example
9:30	Discussion
10:00	Break
10:15	Ulf Moslener, ZEW. Climate Legislation in the E.U.
10:45	Discussion
11:15	Allen Fawcett, U.S.E.P.A. Overview of U.S. Climate Change Legislation
11:45	Discussion
12:15	Lunch
1:00	Tamy Bond,University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and Ben DeAngelo, U.S.E.P.A. Update on Black and Organic Carbon Analyses
1:30	Steven Rose, U.S.E.P.A. Update on EMF Land Use Modeling Activities
2:00	IAMC-AIMES Planning and Integration Workshop: integrated Assessment and Climate Modeling coordination for a Next Assessment Nebojsa Nakicenovic, IIASA and Vienna University of Technology. New RCPs and Scenarios
3:00	Representative Concentration Pathways Jae Edmonds, JGCRI, Kathy Hibbard, Tim Carter, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Keywan Riahi, Steve Rose, & Detlef van Vuuren. Overview: Phases of Scenario Development and Application
3:30	Kathy Hibbard, National Center for Atmospheric Research. CMC Experiments Overview
4:00	Detlef van Vuuren, Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. Data Finalization Overview and discussion
Thursday, February 7
8:30	Overview and discussion of current CM community emissions and land modeling George Hurtt and Elena Shevliakova, University of New Hampshire and Princeton University. ESM Perspective: GFDL and Land Use and Land Use in the GFDL Earth System Model (ESM)
8:50	Kuno Strassman, University of Bern. EMIC Perspective: Bern and Land use
9:10	Jean-Francois Lamarque, National Center for Atmospheric Research. Atmospheric Chemistry Emissions Modeling
9:30	Discussion
10:00	Break
10:30	Overview and Discussion of Current IAM Community Emissions and Land Modeling Message Modeling (IIASA)
10:50	Image Modeling (MNP)
11:10	AIM Modeling (NIES)
11:30	MiniCAM Modeling (PNNL/JGCRI)
11:50	Discussion
12:30	Lunch
1:30	Specific RCP Data Finalization Discussion: Emissions Data Issues Co-chairs: Steve Smith, Jean-Francois Lamarque
2:30	Specific RCP Data Finalization Discussion: Land Use Data Issues Co-Chairs: Detlef van Vuuren, Johannes Feddema
4:30	Specific RCP data finalization discussion: Extension to 2300 Co-chairs – Keywan Riahi, Michio Kawamiya
6:00	Adjourn
Friday, February 8
9:00	RCP Data Finalization Break-Out Group Meetings
10:00	Break
10:30	Status Reports on RCP Data Finalization Issues-Revised proposals clarification of remaining issues, and plans for resolving remaining issues Steve Smith and Jean-Francois Lamarque. Emissions
11:00	Detlef van Vuuren and Johannes Feddema. Land-use/land cover
11:30	Keywan Riahi and Michio Kawamiya. Extension to 2300
12:00	Working Lunch
12:20	Anthony Janetos and Kathy Hibbard. Land Emissions Modeling Integrated Research Questions & Opportunities: Introduction
12:30	Anthony Janetos and Kathy Hibbard. Integrated Research Questions & Opportunities: CMC & IAV
1:30	Steven Rose. Integrated Research Questions & Opportunities: IAMC
3:00	John Weyant, Mikiko Kainuma and Nebojsa Nakicenovic. IAMC Strategic Planning, Future Evens