EMF 21 Study Update & Overview of Multigas Mitigation
Final Agenda, May 19-21, 2003

EMF 21 Study Working Group Meeting (December 2003):
Agenda, December 8-10, 2003
Study Update January 13, 2004

Working Group Presentations, December 8-10, 2003:


• Aaheim, Asbjorn. "The Costs of Using Global Warming Potentials"
  
• Andrasko, Ken. "Forestry Climate Mitigation Potential and Costs: Comparing GCOMAP, GTM, and IMAGE Model Results for EMF 21"
  
• Dela Chesnaye, Francisco. "Development of N₂O and CH4 Mitigation Estimates for Major World Agricultural Regions"
  
• Eickhout, Bas. "Sinks potentials according to IMAGE"
  
• Fawcett, Allen. "Non-CO₂ Greenhouse Gases in the Second Generation Model"
  
• Fujino, Junichi. "Preliminary Model Results of Multi-Gas Analysis from AIM Team"
  
• Hanson, Don. "AMIGA Model Results Presentation"
  
• Jiang, Kejun. "Multi-Gas Emission Mitigation"
  
• Kemfert, Claudia and Truong Truong. "An Integrated Assessment model of Economy, Energy and Climate-WIAGEM-ICM"
  
• Kurosawa, Atsushi. "Grape EMF21 Runs: Summary of Global and Long Term Analysis"
  
• Manne, Alan. "MERGE - Presentation to EMF 21"
  
• Sands, Ron. "Multi-Gas and Terrestrial Mitigation Options in SGM-USA"
  
• Rao, Shilpa. "Long-Term Multigas Mitigation Strategies Using MESSAGE"
  
• Sohngen, Brent. "Global Carbon Sequestration Cost Curves"
  
• Van Vuuren, Detlef. "IMAGE 2.2 Contribution to EMF 21"
  
• RIVM-MNP. "Greenhouse Gas Reduction Pathways in the UN-FCCC Process up to 2025"
  

  Working Group Presentations, May 19-21, 2003:
  

• Aaheim, Asbjorn. "Multi-gas Control and the Potential for Cost Effective Climate Policy"
  
• Criqui, Patrick. "Results of the POLES 5 Model in the GECS Multi-gas Assessment"
  
• De la Chesnaye, Francisco. "Estimating CH4 and N20 Mitigation Potential for Major World Agricultural Regions"
  
• Godwin, David, Jochen Harnisch, Deborah Ottinger. "High Global Warming Potential Fluorinated Gases"
  
• Kurosawa, Atsushi. "Multiple Gas Modeling"
  
• Manne, Alan. "MERGE - Presentation to EMF 21"
  
• Shilpa, Rao & Keywan Riahi. "Multigas Analysis Using MESSAGE"
  
• Sathaye, Jayant, Peter Chank, Larry Dale, and Willy Makundi. "Estimating Forestry Climate Mitigation Potential and Costs using GCOMAP Model Applied to Tropical Forests"
  
• Vielle, Marc and Alain Bernard. "Multi-gas Assessment with GEMINI-E3"
  
• Zapfel, Peter. "The EU Emissions Trading Scheme"
  

  Working Group Presentations, December 4-6, 2002:
  

• Aaheim, H.A., "The Cost of Global Warming Potentials"
  
• De la Chesnaye, Francisco. "Energy Modeling Forum 21 Update (December 4, 2002)"
  
• Delhotal, Casey. "International Marginal Abatement Cost (IMAC) Methodology: Methane, Nitrous Oxide and the Fluorinated Gases"
  
• Deybe, Daniel. "Possible Non-CO2 GHG Abatement in the Agricultural Sector"
  
• Fujino, Junichi. "Preliminary AIM Team Study for Multi-Gas Analysis"
  
• Hanson, Don and Skip Laitner. "The AMIGA Modeling System: EMF-21 Integrated Assessment Configuration and Methodology"
  
• Jiang, Kejun. "Non-CO2 Emission Scenario for China"
  
• Kemfert, Claudia. "An Integrated Assessment Model of Economy, Energy and Climate-The Model WIAGEM"
  
• Kurosawa, Atsushi. "Multiple Gas Reduction Strategy"
  
• Loschel, Andreas. "Post-Kyoto Commitments (2020)"
  
• McCarl, Bruce. "Including Potential Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation from Forests and Agriculture in Integrated Assessment"
  
• Ottinger, Deborah, David Godwin and Jochen Harnisch. "High Global Warming Potential Fluorinated Gases"
  
• Rao, Shilpa. "Modeling CH4 Emissions Using MESSAGE"
  
• Reilly, John. "An Emissions Scenario for 550 ppm Atmospheric Stabilization of CO2 for Multi-gas Analysis"
  
• Reilly, John. "CO2 and other Emissions"
  
• Sands, Ron. "Modeling GLobal Agriculture, Forestry and Land Use"
  
• Scheehle, Elizabeth. "Global Methane & Nitrous Oxide Emissions"
  
• Sohngen, Brent. "Estimating Global Carbon Sequestration Costs"
  
• Vielle, Marc. "Multi-gas Assessment with GEMINI-E3"
  

  STUDY SCHEDULE: The remaining events for the study in 2004 include the following:
  

• In Progress: Completion of final model modification and scenario runs.
  
• March 15, 2004: Non-C02 and Sinks teams Submit Draft Manuscripts to EMF (Weyant and de la Chesnaye) and available for modelers for reference. There will be a brief, internal EMF21 editing process and then the manuscripts will be sent out for peer review.
  
• April 5, 2004: Modeling teams complete and submit reporting templates with priority scenario results.
  
• June 1, 2004: Modeling teams Submit Draft Manuscripts to EMF.
  
• Review and editing within EMF 21 (1.5 months).
  
• Manuscripts Sent for peer review, responses, and final editing (3-4 months).
  
• Late October/early November: Target for submitting final manuscripts for publication.
  
• Late '04 / Early '05: Energy Journal Special Issue Publication  

• SINKS DATA (NEW)
• AGRICULTURE MITIGATION (NEW)
• METHANE
• NITROUS OXIDE
• FLUORINATED GASES

Study Update and Priority Scenarios
The study update and priority scenarios are provided in the following Word file:

•  STUDY UPDATE & RESULTS

•  EMF21 REPORTING

•  FORCING GUIDANCE

EMF 21 Modelers:
The current teams and their members are listed below:

Economy, Technology, & Integrated Assessment Models (19)
ABARE (Brian Fisher & Kate Woffenden) with GTEM
Argonne Nat Lab (Don Hanson) & EPA (Skip Laitner) with AMIGA
CEA - IDEI (Marc Vielle) with GEMINI-E3
Cntr for European Econ Research-ZEW (Chris Boehringer & Andreas Loschel) with EU PACE
Copenhagen Economics (Jesper Jensen) with the EDGE Model
ECN (Koen Smekens) with MARKAL Europe
Energy Information Agency (Andy Kydes) with SAGE
Energy Research Institute China (Jiang Kejun)
EPRI (Rich Richels) & Stanford Univ (Alan Manne) with MERGE
Hamburg Univ. (Richard Tol) with FUND
IAE Japan (Atsushi Kurosawa) with GRAPE
IIASA (Keywan Riahi & Leo Schrattenholzer)
MIT (John Reilly) with EPPA
National Institute for Environmental Studies, Japan (Mikiko Kainuma & Junichi Fujino) AIM
Oldenburg University, Germany (Claudia Kemfert)
PNNL (Jae Edmonds, Hugh Pitcher & Steve Smith) with SGM & MiniCAM
RIVM (Tom Kram & Detlef van Vuuren) with IMAGE
Univ of Colorado (Thomas Rutherford)
UPMF (Patrick Criqui) & CIRAD (Daniel Deybe) with POLES/AGRIPOL

Non-CO₂ GHG Experts
Paul Freund and John Gale, IEA Greenhouse Gas R&D Programme

Methane & N₂O
Ann Gardiner, Judith Bates, AEA Technology
Casey Delhotal, Dina Kruger, Elizabeth Scheehle, USEPA
Chris Hendriks, Niklas Hoehne, Ecofys

Methane, N₂0, HFCs, PFCs & SF6
Jochen Harnish, Ecofys, Germany
Deborah Ottinger and Dave Godwin, USEPA

Sinks (Terrestrial Sequestration)
Roger Sedjo, RFF and Brent Sohngen, Ohio State Univ
Bruce McCarl, Texas A&M
Ken Andrasko, USEPA & Jayant Sathaye, LBNL  

Updated by Edith Leni November 13, 2006