School of Engineering - Stanford University

 

ENGR 297B - Ethics of Development in a Global Environment

 

 

“European Union Enlargement -

A step to democracy and financial prosperity”

 

 

 

 

 

 

by Maria Nikolitsa

 

Winter 2003

 

Table of Contents:

 

1. Introduction: European History and Enlargement

2. Candidate Countries

            2.1 The pre-accession Instruments

                        2.1.1 The Phare program

                        2.1.2 Instrument for Structural Policies for Pre-accession (ISPA)

                        2.1.3 Special Program for Agriculture and Rural Development 

            2.2 Economic and Political Analysis of the candidate countries

                        2.2.1 Czech Republic and Slovakia      

                        2.2.2 Poland

                        2.2.3 Hungary

                        2.2.4 Slovenia

                   2.2.5 Estonia

                   2.2.6 Lithuania

                   2.2.7 Latvia

                        2.2.8 Bulgaria

                        2.2.9 Romania

                        2.2.10 Malta

                        2.2.11 Cyprus

                        2.2.12 Turkey

3. Impact  - Benefits of enlargement

4. Conclusion

5. References

                       

                       

 

 

 

1.      Introduction: European History and Enlargement

 

The European Union (EU) has a tradition of successful enlargements. Initially, in 1957,  the European Economic Community (EEC) comprised six countries - Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg and Netherlands. Subsequently, four enlargements took place - Denmark, Ireland, United Kingdom (1973), Greece (1974), Portugal and Spain (1986), Austria, Finland, Sweden (1995). The enlargement that EU faces today is a challenge as far as the increase in area (by 34%), the increase in population (by 105 million), the cultural and historical diversity are concerned.  The current enlargement is a historic task as for the first time in European history, the continent can be integrated in a peaceful way. The task of integration of the new thirteen countries is not easy as they have different financial, political and social backgrounds and in many cases the gap between the member states of the EU and the candidate ones seems to be huge. The ultimate goal of the EU is the convergence of the different economies and the compliance of the candidate countries’ structures with the sociopolitical acquis of the EU. For that reason, EU has established a number of programs providing assistance to the candidate countries in order to join the EU. These programs and, each country’s status and the impact of the enlargement are presented analytically in the next sections.

 

2. Candidate Countries

 

During the period 2000-2006, three instruments - the Phare program, ISPA and SAPARD will provide financial assistance to the countries of Central and Eastern Europe, which are Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia. The financial aid provided to Malta and Cyprus will be discussed separately as the economical and political status of these countries does not need the same aid for reformation as the previous mentioned countries. Greater changes need to be made to the economy, the public administration and the political system of Central-Eastern countries due to the fact that a communist model had been adopted until 90’s. Furthermore, the poor financial conditions in Romania and Bulgaria delay the start of negotiations for these two countries up to 2007, so that they have adequate time to reform their economic system. As for Turkey, the provided financial assistance is presented separately as the negotiations for its membership in the EU are at a stationary point as the political situation acts negatively in the process of Turkish candidacy. The overall pre-accession assistance for all candidate countries is three billions euros annually during the period 2000-2006, half of which is allocated to Phare. For 2001, the precise appropriations were 540 millions for SAPARD, 1,080 millions for ISPA and 1,620 for Phare.

 

2.1 The pre-accession Instruments

 

The EU membership of each candidate country depends on the fulfillment of Copenhagen Criteria, which define that each country must:

§         be a stable democracy, respecting human rights, the rule of law, and the protection of minorities

§         have a functioning market economy

§         adopt the common rules, standards and policies that make up the body of EU law

Analysis of each program of financial aid to the candidate countries for EU membership are presented below:

 

2.1.1 The Phare program

 

The goal of Phare program is to provide assistance to the candidate countries of central Europe in their preparations for joining the European Union and it focuses on institution building and acquis-related investment. Each one is analyzed separately below:

- The institution building, which accounts for 30% of the budget, is the process for providing help to candidate countries to develop structures, strategies, human resources and management skills. By that way, they will have the opportunity to strengthen their economic, social, regulatory and administrative capacity. Particular emphasis is given on the support for public administration. The majority of the central-eastern countries have  very-well educated human resources which has a lack of knowledge of the western function of the public administration system. This is due to the centralized character the public administration used to have in communistic regimes. This is why the introduction of the “twinning” instrument is essential. This innovative tool makes available the vast body of Member State’s expertise to the candidate countries, through the long-term secondment of civil servants and launch of expert missions, in order to support them in their efforts to reform public administration.

- The acquis-related investment, which accounts for 70% of the budget, has two major categories of activities. One of them is the co-financing of the countries’ regulatory framework in order to strengthen the necessary infrastructure for compliance with the acquis. Therefore, investment in all the equipment essential to operation of the internal market, such as investments in food safety structure, security of frontiers, testing equipment and laboratories for the consumer protection are supported by this program. The second category involves investments in economic and social cohesion, through measures similar to the ones supported in Member States, in order to promote the functioning of the market economy and the capacity to cope with competitive pressure and market forces within the EU.

One of the major objectives of the EU Commission is to assist the candidate countries in taking on full responsibility and liability for the management of all Community aid. An Extended Decentralized Implementation System is currently prepared in order to help the countries to prepare for a smooth transition from pre-accession assistance to Structural Funds.

 

2.1.2 Instrument for Structural Policies for Pre-accession (ISPA)

 

For the 2000-2006 period, the ISPA program provides financial aid for investments in the sectors of transportation and environment to candidate countries in order to comply with the European legislation as soon as possible. The foreseen budget for that period is 7 billions EUR. ISPA aims at providing good connections between the European Union and the candidate countries and links from these to the Trans-European Transport Networks. As for the sector of transport, ISPA provides funding for the development of railways, roads, waterways/ports and airports, with a greater emphasis on rail network. EU has foreseen the necessity of a good transportation network, with many alternative routes as the trade is expected to increase dramatically the next years and the existing road network of Europe, which is mostly used for traffic of goods will be inadequate as it will be able to serve only 50% of the traffic of goods. In the field of the environment, funding is provided for solutions to drinking water, treatment of wastewater, solid-waste management and air pollution issues. Funding is also provided for preparatory studies and technical assistance for project management.

 

2.1.3 Special Program for Agriculture and Rural Development (SAPARD)

 

SAPARD aims at supporting the efforts of the candidate countries to participate in the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP), by providing solutions to specific problems in agriculture and rural development. SAPARD funds investments in processing and marketing of agricultural and fishery products, in agricultural holdings, in the rural infrastructure and the diversification of economic activities, providing for multiple activities and alternative income. Furthermore, it supports the improvement of quality control and standards of food products, maintenance of the countryside, farm activities, conservation of rural heritage, land improvement, vocational training and forestry.

 

2.2 Economic and Political Analysis of the candidate countries

 

In the next sub-sections, the economy and the political status of each candidate country are presented in detail. Furthermore, the goals to be achieved in order to have each country entered into the EU are analyzed. Moreover, the feelings of public opinion of each country’s people are presented.

 

 

 

2.2.1 Czech Republic and Slovakia

 

Until 1938, Czechoslovakia was one of the ten most developed industrial states worldwide and it was a democratic state. After the end of World War II, a Soviet-style Communist regime was introduced to Czechoslovakia and for forty years it ruled assisted by oppressive institutions every aspect of socio-political life. After 1948, the Communist Party was the only actual political entity. Although few other parties were allowed to exist, their role was to promote the image of Czechoslovakia to be a democratic state. The fall of the Communist regime took place in 1989. In 1992, Czechoslovakia separated in Czech Republic and Slovakia, which are both candidate countries for EU membership.

In general, the public opinion supports the accession to the EU (more than 50% of the population). The referendum, which will be realized on the 15th of June 2003 and will be the first one in the country’s history, will have to prove this trend, otherwise no vote can be help for the next two years. On the other hand, one of the main concerns of the Czech is the limitation of farming subsidies to the future member countries. In order to meet the criteria for joining the EU, Czech Republic should protect its Roma minority from acts of violation and make efforts to eliminate the crime rate and shady networks of corruption. For 2002, the financial aid from the three instruments of EU (Phare, ISPA, SAPARD) was 104 MEUR, 70 MEUR and 171 MEUR respectively. The EU supports the country financially in order to evolve to a democratic state by adopting all the necessary principles and to a market economy. Recently, through ISPA funding, EU supports the improvement of the sewerage system in Brno and, through Phare funding, the establishment of an Energy Regulatory Office.

As for Slovakia, the country receives financial support through Phare in order to change citizens perception who consider corruption and bribery as legitimate behavior in public administration. In addition to that, funding through ISPA (47.7 MEUR) will be evenly distributed between transport infrastructure (upgrading ZSR railway commercial lines, modernization of road network) and environment (waste water treatment plants, waste management). The Slovak SAPARD plan will receive 18.7 MEUR from EU for rural development. A national referendum will take place on the 16th of May, 2003. The Slovaks  support by 58% the EU membership according to opinion polls.

 

2.2.2 Poland

 

Poland used to be on of the most powerful and richest states of the European continent during the 16th century. In 1791, the Commonwealth of Poland - Lithuania ratified a constitution - the first written constitution of Europe. Afterwards, Poland was partitioned by its neighboring countries - Prussia, Russia and Austria - for 123 years. Poland became independent in 1918 for only twenty years as the communism spread in the country. In 1989, the first elections took place after the fall of the communist regime. Currently, Poland is a democratic country, with a new constitution passed in 1991. Poland has to deal with a great number of issues in order to complete all the requirements for EU membership. As for the agricultural sector, it contributes for 5% of the national GDP, while the 60% of the country’s land is used for agriculture and the 40% of the population is employed in this sector of economy. These figures show that the productivity should be reinforced with technological solutions, agricultural training and upgrading of the infrastructure. A fear of the Polish is the loss of their national identity by becoming a member of the EU. This is impossible as no country in the EU ever lost its particular character, as all of them have traditions and cultures with strong background. Moreover, the EU respects the cultural diversity of its member states and has as an ultimate goal the economic and social cohesion. Poland exhibits a unique feature regarding role of the Catholicism in guiding the public opinion of the country about the EU membership. Pope John Paul II promoted the EU membership of Poland in front of 2.5 million people in Krakow. On the other hand, Father Rytzyk, who is the League of Polish Families right-wing party, strongly opposes to EU candidacy. Poland has to face efficiently the corruption and the weak administration in order to become a member of the EU. A referendum, in a national basis, will be realized on the 8th of June, 2003 to reveal the public opinion regarding this important issue.

 

 

2.2.3 Hungary

 

Hungary is a candidate country with 10.2 million people. Its economy suffered a great (20%) currency appreciation against Euro lasting eighteen months. Nowadays, the inflation rate has declined to 5.3%. The sector of construction keeps growing, while the export-oriented manufacturing and the tourism have weaknesses. The capital movement has been liberalized and the unemployment is one of the lowest in candidate countries (5.9%), involving mostly the low-skill segments of the labor force. Nowadays, the FDI has quadrupled since 1989. The main trade partner of Hungary is EU ( exports to EU account for 75% of the total exports of Hungary and imports form EU account for 58% of the total imports in the country). Hungary is required to deal with the issues of the discrimination against Roma minority and the great poverty in order to join the EU (1/3 of the population lives below the poverty line). The EU will give 120.7 MEUR through Phare, 92.4 MEUR through ISPA and 38.7 MEUR through SAPARD annually until 2006 to assist Hungary in its efforts to comply with the EU policy and standards. A project of great significance funded with 10 MEUR by the EU is the reconstruction of the Danube bridge, which was destroyed during the World War II. A referendum about the EU membership of Hungary at a national level is arranged for the 12th of April, 2003. According to exit polls, the 67% of the total population is in favor of the EU membership.

 

2.2.4 Slovenia

 

Slovenia is a Parliamentary democracy with two million inhabitants. Slovenia is one of the most prosperous candidate countries for EU membership and its GDP is higher than the one of all the other countries of Central Europe. In order to fulfill all the requirements for becoming a EU member state in 2004, the privatization has to accelerate as the 45% of the economy is still state-owned in order to attract foreign investment. Furthermore, the high inflation rate (8.4%) is a matter of concern. In general terms, its economy is comparable to the one of Portugal, which is a EU member. A national referendum for identification of the public opinion regarding EU candidacy and potential membership is scheduled for the 23rd of March, 2003.

 

2.2.5 Estonia

 

The republic of Estonia first appeared in 1918. Subsequently, it was occupied by Nazi Germany (1941-44) and the Soviet Union (1940-41, 1944-91). In 1980s, the Estonians started to seek for independence. In 1988, peaceful protests occurred when a large number of Estonians gathered in order to sing national songs in a the so-called “singing” revolution. Since 1991, Estonia is an independent country, with a population of 1.4 million people. The reforms of the economic system in order to achieve a successful transition from a planned economy to a market one were thorough. The privatization process and the liberalization of prices were launched in order to attract foreign investment in the business sector and fulfilled the ultimate goal. The growth rate of the economy is 6%, driven by economic integration with EU member states and it puts it ahead of most of the applicant countries. Machinery and electrical equipment exports, tourism and transit trade affect positively the growth of the economy. One of the main trade partners of Estonia is Finland, an EU member. Estonia is required to integrate the Russian community in its territory, which accounts for 50% of the total population in order to join the EU. The benefits form the membership in the EU is the national security, amelioration of relations with Russia, improvement of living standards, better social status. The increase in prices is expected to be overcome by the quality of life. A recent Estonian development is information technology and Estonia is the leading country for internet connections among the candidate EU countries and some EU member states, such as France or Belgium. The fear of competition affecting negatively the manufacturing enterprises is widespread. The EU supports the candidacy of Estonia by providing 36 MEUR per year through ISPA and 13.1 MEUR per year through SAPARD. Form 1992 -2001, Estonia received 245 MEUR totally. A challenging project is the use of coal instead of fuel in power stations which is three times more efficient and less pollutant. A referendum for accession in EU will take place on the 14th of September, 2003. The public opinion (57% ) supports the EU membership according to a survey carried out by the Estonian polling organization Emor.

 

2.2.6 Lithuania

 

Lithuania appears in written historical documents in 1009 AD. The modern Lithuania was established in1918 and became independent in 1990, after 50 years of foreign rule from ex-USSR. Lithuania has a modern highway system, several international airports and one port in use, as the seawater there is not frozen. However, it is poor in natural resources. The main trade partner of Lithuania is the EU. The main issues to be solved in order to join the EU is the corruption in the public administration and the weakness in rural infrastructure, regarding poor condition of farm access roads, electricity supply system, water supply network and telecommunications. For dealing with the agricultural issues effectively, Lithuania will receive 39.9 MEUR annually until 2006 through SAPARD funding. A referendum regarding accession from the EU is scheduled for 10th of May, 2003.

 

2.2.7 Latvia

 

Latvia is situated in the intersection of the trade routes between Western Europe and Russia. Latvia has three major ports - one of them, Ventspils, is the largest one in Baltic Sea and has a great cargo turnover, which ranks it among the fifteen leading European ports. Latvia gets involved in electronics, mechanical engineering technology, chemical and pharmaceutical production, wood processing and food production. Currently, the type of government is democratic, parliamentary republic. The issues that Latvia has to deal with in order to succeed in entering into the EU is the integration of the Russian Community into society and significant progress in legality and efficiency in the utilization of public funds. A referendum is arranged for the 29th of September 2003 in order to have the public opinion revealed regarding the EU membership of their country.

 

 

2.2.8 Bulgaria

 

Bulgaria is a former communist country striving to enter the European Union. Since 1991, Bulgaria is a parliamentary republic as that year the latest Constitution of Bulgaria, which is characterized by principles of modern constitutionalism - multi-party parliamentary system, free elections on the basis of universal suffrage, was adopted. Bulgaria used to experience macroeconomic stability until 1996, when a major economic downturn led to the fall of the socialist government. The current government tries to achieve economic stability with a stable currency board, low interest rate and substantial foreign-exchange reserves by practicing stable financial policies, accelerating privatization, and pursuing structural reforms. Actually, the economic growth has accelerated to 4.5% (2001). On the other hand, the eight million citizens of Bulgaria suffer from unemployment (17.5% in 2001) and poverty (35% of the population below poverty line). For example, many employees work twelve hours a day and their monthly salary is 110 leva (50 euros), while the price of goods are close to the ones of the EU. The category of Bulgarians who suffer the most are the Roma - or Gipsy - as whole sectors of economy do not employ them. Therefore, Bulgaria has a lot of economic and social problems to solve before it can join the EU. Furthermore, there is a high crime rate and the judicial system needs to be reformed. For instance, amendments to the Constitution regarding the immunity of the magistrates should be made. In addition to that, Bulgaria also needs to drop the constitutional ban on foreigners buying land in its territory. Even though, foreigners can acquire ownership of buildings and lease land, they cannot own land and they have to obtain license in order to engage in certain activities such as ammunition, banking, insurance and exploitation of natural resources. This prohibition will continue to be active until the development of a real market, otherwise the land will be bought very cheaply. This fear involving the fertile agricultural land is widespread in Bulgaria. Another issue, which has to be solved before having Bulgaria join the EU is the demand of the closure of the oldest reactors of the Kozloduy nuclear power station. Thus, the European Council offers 212.5 million euros loan for the modernization and upgrading of the nuclear plants. At the moment the EU has not demonstrated any legislative initiative regarding nuclear policy but, there is a great concern regarding this issue and the nuclear policy definition is one of the EU future priorities As for agriculture,  the variety of produced goods has minimized. As a result, Bulgaria needs the financial assistance of EU. It will receive an additional 20% in 2004, 30% in 2005 and 40% in 2006 compared to the average assistance received in the period 2001-2003 in order to achieve the objective of membership in 2007. Bulgaria is one of the most enthusiastic candidate countries about EU membership (75% of the population supports the accession).

 

2.2.9 Romania

 

On 22 June 1995, the Romanian Government submitted her application for membership to the European Union. Currently, Romania is one of the poorest countries of Central and Eastern Europe - 44.5% of its population is below poverty line.  This is the main reason for which Romania was excluded from the first round of EU enlargement talks and its new goal is to achieve the membership of 2007. In 1989, the transition form communism began. The economy of the country was characterized by an obsolete industrial base and an output pattern unsuited to the needs of the country. In 1991, a new Constitution was adopted, demonstrating a democratic approach to the development, giving rise to free elections and protecting minority groups. Despite the notable Romanian efforts to achieve EU membership, a great number of problems remain unsolved. First of all, the corruption of the business world is widespread and it will not be eliminated as long as the legal and the judiciary system remain ineffective. Therefore, the judiciary system needs to be reformed. Due to the corruption, the country seems to be unattractive to foreign investors as the there is a high venture risk. Furthermore, even though the 40% of the population gets involved in agriculture the productivity is so low that it accounts for the 5% of the national GDP. This fact is due to the poor quality equipment and the ineffective communication systems. Furthermore, the Roma minority is still persecuted and the situation of children in institutional care needs to be improved. These problems require solutions, so that Romania fulfills the Copenhagen Criteria for accession to the EU. EU Council is aware of the problems that Romania encounters and tries to facilitate its accession through the three instruments (Phare, ISPA, SAPARD) by providing 630 million euros annually until 2006.

 

2.2.10 Malta

 

Malta applied for EU membership in 1990 but, its application was frozen in 1996, due to a change of the government and it was re-activated in 1998. Despite the lack of natural resources, Malta produces a wide variety of products in its limited land and exports part of its crop. The beekeeping industry is famous since ancient times. Currently, Malta has a well developed economy based on tourism, manufacturing industry and services. Malta also aims to become a hub for communications in the Mediterranean Sea. Its easily adaptable and multi-lingual labor force can lead Malta to this direction. Malta receives funding from the same programs as Cyprus, which are different from the ones providing assistance to the Central and Eastern European countries as their economies are in a good condition and they are the only countries with no communist background. Therefore, the financial aid, consisting of special loans, risk capital funds and grants for technological development, aims at increasing its competitiveness. The referendum, which took place in Malta on the 8th of March, 2003 proved that the citizens of Malta approve of the candidacy for the EU membership.

 

2.2.11 Cyprus

 

Cyprus consists of two communities, the Greek Cypriots and the Turkish Cypriots. The island of Cyprus where mostly Greeks used to live, had a multi-ethnic culture as it actually belonged to whichever empire was in power in the Mediterranean - Phoenicians, Assyrians, Egyptians, Persians. Under the Lusignan dynasty, which lasted for three centuries and ended in 1373 by the Genoese invasion in the island, Cyprus was one of the richest countries in the world. In 1570, the island was conquered by Ottomans, Sultan Selim II, who brought 20,000 Ottomans colonists in the island, the ancestors of the current Turkish Cypriots. In 1878, with the decline of the Ottoman Empire, Britain signed a military treaty with Turkey, in order to occupy and administer Cyprus as an effort to stop Russian expansion to the area, which could threaten its trade routes with India. In 1960, Cyprus became an independent country, with power division along communal lines. The outcome was a political crisis and the UN sent forces to the island. In 1974, the military junta in Greece discussed with Turkey to get rid of president Makarios who relied in the leftist party, Akel, but, they did not conclude in a common agreement. The Greek dictators started a coup in Cyprus but Makarios escaped. The military regime in Greece collapsed, while, at the same time, Turkish troops landed in Cyprus and seized 1/3 of the island and left 200,000 refugees unable to return to their homes. The country divided into two parts. The capital of Cyprus, Nicosia, has a wall like the one Berlin used to have.

At the moment, the Republic of Cyprus, which consists of the Greek Cypriot area is officially recognized. The northern part of the island (Turkish Cypriot area) is recognized only by Turkey. As a result, foreign firms have hesitated to invest there and its economy depends totally on agriculture and government service, which both of them employ the 50% of the work force. Turkey provides financial aid to the Turkish Cypriot economy as grants for tourism, education and industrial development. The last ten years, the financial assistance was $600 millions.

From 1978 - 1999, the EU had made available to Cyprus 210 MEUR as loans (152M), grants (51M) and risk capital (7M), in order support small and medium enterprises, environment, energy and transport sectors. From 2000-2004, the total pre-accession aid will be 57M for investment, institution-building, economic and social cohesion and reconciliation of the two Cypriot communities. Additional financial aid is provided for harmonization, bi-communal and decentralization projects.

The Greek Cypriot side is really enthusiastic about EU membership as the application of Cyprus to join Union will contribute positively to the re-unification of the island. The Turkish Cypriots are also eager to join the EU as they are tired of the economic hardship (the GDP in the south is seven times higher than in the north side) and the international isolation. Furthermore, this could be a solution to deter Turkish Cypriots from leaving the island in great numbers. On the other hand, some Turkish Cypriots are skeptical that the gap between the two communities might increase. The president of self-declared Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, R. Denktas, refused to negotiate on a modified UN proposal for the unification of the island. The Turkish Cypriot side supports the creation of two federations in the island, while the EU has proposed the establishment of one federation with the participation of both communities. As Cyprus has to sign on the 16th of April for its accession from the EU, if there is no change in the Turkish Cypriots position, Brussels will accept the candidacy of the Republic of Cyprus (Greet Cypriots side) and the opportunity for the re-unification of the island after so many years will be lost probably forever.

 

2.2.12 Turkey

 

According to the Copenhagen Summit, Turkey will restart the negotiations with the EU in 2004 as it does not fulfill the Copenhagen Criteria.    As far as the economy is concerned, it suffers from a high inflation rate (69%) and an unemployment rate of 11.1%, which increases even more if the under-employment rate of 6.1% is taken into account. In a political level, it is regarded that Turkey is substantially governed by the military people, despite the fact that the political system is parliamentary. In 1960, Turkey had a military regime, which resigned its authority after three years, when it considered that they had achieved political and economic stability. This dictatorship is unique as it is the only military regime which was not forced to resign. On the other hand, in all other cases, the countries obtained democratic institutions, while Turkey still has the influence of the military council in the governing of the country.  The following cases reveal the reasons for which the candidacy of Turkey to become a member of The European Union has frozen, as they can be considered violations of Copenhagen criteria regarding human right section:

Akin Birdal is the former President of the Human Rights Association (IHD) of Turkey and deputy president of the European Human Rights Federation. While he was still Chairman of the IHD, he was gunned with six bullets in his office (May 1998). The assassins abandoned him to bleed to death, but he managed to survive. The assassination order, according to the No 1 State Security Court (DGM) in Ankara, came from the Turkish Revenge Brigade (TIT). According to political analysts, the Turkish media, are also to blame for this assault, as they turn intellectuals, authors, and politicians into public targets. The significant work of Mr. Birdal in the field of human rights of minorities in Turkey annoyed the Turkish Government and Army. Therefore, in October of 1998, the Appeal Court confirmed a sentence of one year’s imprisonment for “inciting people to hatred and enmity on the basis of class, race or regional differences” under Article 312/2 of the Turkish Penal Code. His “offence” had been to call for a peaceful approach to the issue of Turkish’s Kurdish minority and to use the phrase “the Kurdish” people in a speech made at public in 1996. Another sentence of one year’s imprisonment in April 1999 under Article 312 was confirmed for a speech he made in 1995 at a peace festival panel.  Akin Birdal was imprisoned in June 1999 and was released from prison on health grounds in September 1999, so that Turkey would avoid embarrassment during the Istanbul OSCE Conference and the EU Helsinki Summit. This is why he was sent to prison immediately after the end of these meetings, despite his critical health condition, to complete the rest six months of his sentence. At the moment, the period of his imprisonment is over, but he considers that “his freedom is only physical, as a free person has no limitations, no prohibitions to speak, to write, to express his thoughts”. Amnesty International’s German Section awarded Mr. Birdal a special human rights prize in recognition of his efforts as a human rights defender.

Article 312 is the most commonly used article of the Turkish Penal Code to inhibit debate. Any conviction under this article leads to bans to participation in politics or civil society. As a result, Akin Birdal was forced to resign not only from the leadership of the Turkish Human Rights Association but also from the membership. Furthermore, he is not allowed to stand for any political office nor join any political party during his lifetime. Thus, Article 312 is the end of the political career and public life of politicians who have ideas which are not welcome to the state, regarding issues of politics, religion, military or ethnicity. For example, Tayyip Erdogan was deprived from his status as mayor of Istanbul for reading an inoffensive poem and Celal Guzel, former education minister and leader of the Rebirth party was imprisoned five days after EU summit under article 312. Even though a great number of convictions under article 312 contravene Article 10 of the European Convention in judgments against Turkey, both members of the judiciary and politicians oppose to the reformation of the penal code. In advance of the Helsinki Summit, the Turkish government gave assurances that the Turkish Penal Code was on the road to reform. After Turkey’s EU candidacy was approved, the State Minister of Human Rights Mehmet Ali Irtemcelik announced a series of measures fro free expression. However, nothing has been done since then. It seems that the main obstacle the reformation of Article 312 is the army. Actually, in 1999, the chief of general staff warned that the Article 312 should not be amended.

Another human rights violation in Turkey committed under the Article 312 is the imprisonment of  the Italian citizen and journalist Dino Frisullo for participating in celebrations to mark the Kurdish New Year and for demonstrating support to the fundamental rights of Kurdish people. He received a one-year prison sentence and a 6,100,000,000 TL fine. While he was in jail, the decision was overturned by the Supreme Court, and it was sent to the Diyarbakir DGM for retrial. Mr. Frisullo was released, under the pressure of his country and the EU, but he did not manage to appear at his hearing as he was deported when he arrived in Istanbul on the grounds that there was a ban against him to enter the country. This event acts as an obstacle for Italy, in particular and the EU to accept Turkey as a potential member of the EU as long as the indisputable right of thought expression and speech freedom is not respected. This is the fundamental principle of democracy and journalism.

Another case, proving the lack of democracy is Turkey and being an obstacle to the negotiations between EU and Turkey, is the imprisonment of Leyla Zana ten years ago. Leyla Zana was the first Kurd woman to be elected to the Turkish Parliament. After her election, she wanted to give oath to her mother language, as a symbolic gesture to assert the identity of people that she represented. For this initiative, she was arrested and condemned to confinement for fifteen years. (Turkish State does not recognize to the Kurdish people living in the Turkish territory the rights of self-determination, linguistic and cultural identity). Now, she is held in total isolation to the jails of maximum emergency in Ankara. Despite her critical health condition and an immense international mobilization for her release, Ms. Zana will accept to be free as long as a general amnesty is provided to all political prisoners in Turkey. She has been awarded with prize “Sacharov” from the European Parliament, previously attributed to Nelson Mandela, “The Roses” in Denmark, “Oscar Romero for dignity” in Italy and she has been candidate for the prize Nobel for the peace in 1999.

Another case showing the lack of democracy in Turkey was the one of Abdullah Ocalan. Abdullah Ocalan was the head of Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), which had waged a bloody battle for Kurdish independence. The Kurds are a non-Arab, Muslim people, having their own cultural and linguistic identity. They number 20 to 25 million. They are concentrated in southeastern Turkey, northern Iraq, Iran and parts of Syria. By the end of the Ottoman Empire after the World War I, the Kurds were promised their own state according to the Treaty of Sevres in 1920. But, Turkey renegotiated the terms of the treaty and Kurds were left as a nation without a state. According to the European Court, both PKK and Turkey commited inexcusable massacres. A. Ocalan was arrested in Kenya on charges of treason and terrorism, after failing to find asylum in Europe. Up to nowadays, the Kurdish people are not recognized as a minority in Turkey, and they do not enjoy any language rights. It remains illegal to use the Kurdish language in school, broadcasts and politics. After his arrest, Ocalan was sentenced guilty to death by three Turkish judges. The EU called for an appeal for his life. According to the EU policy, death penalty in Turkey should be abolished as it violates the fundamental human right for life. Nowadays, Ocalan is imprisoned in Turkey. The European Court decided on the12th of March, 2003 that Ocalan did not have a fair trial.

Another issue, acting as a hurdle to admit Turkey to the EU is the lack of respect of religious freedom. For example, the orthodox theological school of Chalki, situated in the island of Heybelyada, near Istanbul, was once the spawning ground for the hierarchy of the Ecumenical Patriarchate, the Orthodoxy’s mother church, until it was shut down by the Turkish Government in 1971, even though this decision of the Turkish State violated the treaty of Lozanne. In 1998, Ankara dissolved the board of trustees, which was taking care of valuable ecclesiastical and community properties of a once-flourishing community. This Turkish decision preceded by one month the anticipated US congressional legislation calling on Turkey to recognize the Ecumenical Patriarchate, ensure the institution’s physical needs and reopen the Chalki Patriarchal School of Theology. The bill, which was approved by both the US Representatives and Senate, was signed by President Bill Clinton (October 1998). The Turkish Government demanded that only new candidates for board members should stand for election. But, the remaining Greek community - only 2,000 people, with a high proportion of elderly ones - faced for years the problem of finding candidates to stand for elections. Consequently, the serving members were re-elected over and over. As a result, the firing of the board can be viewed as a message that if the school reopens, the Turkish government will remain firmly in control. Nowadays, the School of Chalki still remains shut down.

The repression in Turkey’s jails pointed out by the cries of agony of human right activists, who are inundated with complaints of torture and abuse from lawyers, doctors and prisoners’ relatives, is one of the main issues that is in the agenda as to be solved in order to have Turkey allowed to join the EU. Despite Turkey’s parliamentary tradition dating back to 1870, democratic rights have been systematically denied to the people, as the Turkish ruling class keeps its privileges using brute force, ruling the country through a military dictatorship at times or behind a thin parliamentary façade. A right-wing military coup in 1980 marked a period of intensified repression, as all strikes and mass actions were banned, trade unions were shut down and more than 650,000 people were imprisoned. The captives in Turkey are political prisoners and prisoners of war, both Turkish and Kurdish. They are subjected to beatings, torture, solitary confinement, denial of medical care and various physical attacks in an effort to turn them into submissive objects. The prisoners take up many forms of resistance to the repression. One of them is hunger strike, as an ultimate means to let the world know the horrors of life in Turkey’s prisons. The next figures indicate the scale of the hunger-strike movements in Turkey:

 

§         In June-July 1983 a hunger strike at Istanbul prisons involved around 2,500 political captives.

§         October-November 1988 more than 2000 captives took part in hunger strike protests in around 20 prisons throughout Turkey.

§         July-August 1995 nearly 10,000 prisoners of war from the Kurdish Workers Party (the PKK) carried out a hunger strike.

§         May-August 1996 in 33 prisons some 1,500 prisoners took part in an indefinite hunger strike and death fast.

§         On 24 September 1996 a mass hunger strike protest against a prison massacre was carried out by 11,500 political captives.

 

The relatives of the political captives are subject to similar treatment by the authorities, such as bans on visits and correspondence lasting form months to years, humiliating searches and sexual harassment. Many of them participate in several forms of struggle, including hunger strike.

As for the EU, it is critical that Turkey becomes a member of the EU as this would show that a modern Muslim country can be integrated with the West. But, for some EU members, the priority is the respect of human rights. As for the United States, the issue is strategic as they need Turkey for their ally in a possible war against Iraq. The Europeans resent the heavy pressure that President Bush bears on them and they believe that Turkey should take advantage of the freezing of its candidacy to complete its transition to democracy and modernity.

Turkey, as it is deeply concerned about achieving the EU membership, has made a series of good steps. Firstly, it lifted the opposition to a long-delayed for two years arrangement of NATO to assist EU’s embryonic rapid reaction force. Therefore, EU can draw assets from NATO to establish a 60,000 strong force. As for Iraq crisis, the Turkish Parliament did not approve of assisting the US force to attack against Iraq, despite the initial approval of the Turkish President  and it rejected the $ 6 billions financial aid of the US. The voting of the Turkish Parliament  will be repeated this week and the result is of great interest and historic significance for the entire humanity.

Finally, it is essential to increase the security of its borders and modernize its judiciary system in order to eliminate the heroine traffic and the production of opium.

 

3. Impact - Benefits of enlargement

 

If the enlargement process proves to be successful, the existing members of the EU and the new ones will have benefits. First of all, peace, stability and prosperity will dominate in the European continent. As the number of the total population of the EU increases by adding the 100 million people of the candidate countries and their growing economies, the European economy will reinforce its growth and subsequently, more jobs will be created in both the new and old member states. The quality of life of European citizens will improve throughout Europe as the crime rate, drugs traffic, illegal immigration and pollution will be eliminated. Moreover, the cultural diversity of all these different countries with unique civilizations will facilitate the interchange of ideas and promote the better understanding of people. Furthermore, the enlargement of EU will strengthen its role in world issues, such as foreign policy and trade of goods. The above mentioned benefits have started to become real. The democratization of many of candidate countries has realized. In addition to that, the economic reforms have led to economic growth (higher rates in several cases than the one of the EU) and better employment perspectives. Last but mot least, the increasing trade with the candidate countries (17 MEUR trade surplus in 2000) have generated new employment opportunities and growth in the member states of the EU.

Despite these positive results in the economic and political life of Europeans, a lot of skepticism is expressed regarding how possible immigration, trade and capital movement will affect the wages and the unemployment rates in existing and candidate states of the EU. Studies have shown that the immigration will decrease with years as it happened in the past (in 1990 370,000 immigrants came to the EU, while in 1997 only 14,000 from the candidate countries). In addition to that the wages will not decrease - the only people who have a greater possibility of lower wages or unemployment - is the unskilled labor force in host countries. Even the countries which will receive the greatest percentage of immigrants, Germany and Austria (80%), will have moderate impact on employment as the individual risk of dismissal increases by 0.8% points in the Austria and 0.2% points in Germany.  In addition to that, the regions/countries with higher immigration problems will be the neighboring ones in the candidate countries. The impact will not be necessarily negative on balance but the adjustment pressure will be high. Special allocation of EU funds will be given to these regions in order to increase the competitiveness of small and medium businesses situated there. In the long run, these influences will be negligible. Actually, as the candidate countries face similar demographic challenges as current EU member countries with an ageing population and a decreasing working age population, the flows of immigrants might reduce, while the migration needs will increase in the existing EU.  As for trade, as the EU member and candidate countries are specialized in different kinds of goods and segments of market, all production factors will benefit from increased trade and relative wages will remain unaffected. Another challenge is the convergence of the GDP per capita  between the member and the candidate countries of the EU as now the GDP per capita of the latter ones is 1/10 of the average GDP per capita of the first ones and the purchase power parities of the candidate ones is the 1/3 of the purchase power parities of the member ones. A plausible rate of convergence of the national GDP per capita can be derived from the experience of post-war development in European market economies. A convergence rate of 2% will reduce the income gap in 35 years and the applicant countries will achieve a per capita GDP of 70% of the EU average in 2035.

 

4. Conclusion

 

It is really crucial that the enlargement is realized as it will be beneficiary for both the existing member states  and the potential members of the European Union. It seems that despite the difficulties in each candidate country, the EU has identified the problems that require immediate solutions and provides assistance in the process of democratization and economic development through programs and consultancy. A successful enlargement of the EU will be beneficiary for itself as it will be transformed to a significant political and economic “power”. This evolution will also benefit the humanity. The history has shown in the past that the “dipolism” (the existence of two equivalent “powers” ) reduces the “arrogance of power” that one might demonstrate in case of “monopolism”.

References:

 

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